recession

Will the mantra of ‘higher for longer’ interest rates be superseded by ‘lower and sooner'?

Key Points: • Australia is at, or close to the end, of the fastest monetary policy tightening cycle since the late 1980s. • Every economic cycle is unique, but most...

As we navigate the ever-evolving landscape of investment, data-driven strategies are emerging as the compass to navigate the challenges posed by rising bond yields,...

We’ve outperformed over the long term by being conservatively contrarian during booms and aggressively contrarian during busts.

The economic expansion is long in the tooth. Equity valuations are stretched. Downside risks are growing. It is time to build resilience.

US activity continues to surprise to the upside, with stronger GDP and a resilient US consumer pushing back recession fears, for now.

We pushed back our recession call to the end of 2023 or first quarter of 2024, despite our US recession probability model remaining high.

Their money supply’s shrinking and yield curves have inverted. This confluence of events always precedes slumps; can this time be different?

Higher yields and a slowing economy have skewed the outlook for US Treasury returns to a very positive setting.

The "Magnificent Seven," has accounted for a staggering 95% of market gains. Let's delve into the why and how and explore what lies ahead.