recession

With central banks near the end of the hiking cycle, it is time to sell equities and buy bonds. Lock in income and protection while you can.

The contrast couldn’t be starker. In Q1, 2023 the US economy grew at 1.3% on an annualised basis. Forecasts for Q2 are lower but still positive. Next week, we get...

We have been optimistic about the prospects for equities this year despite fears of recession. And even though investors have listed a deeply inverted U.S. Treasury...

High inflation and unsustainably low unemployment echo the inverted yield curve in signalling a high risk of a US recession.

Pause, skip or hike? The US Fed's near-term path remains uncertain. And that leaves downside risk for investors in US equities.

Analysis of the recent US bank turmoil indicates the issue is contained to smaller banks, which comprise less than 3% of the system.

The sharpest increase in US interest rates in 40 years, a shrinking money supply and bank failures are all causes for concern – but the markets don’t seem to think so....

Yes, yes, I get they are cheap. But when, if ever, will small caps start working? Midway through what’s looking like another year of small-cap underperformance, that’s...

The Australian REIT sector continued its rollercoaster ride of performance, delivering a +5.2% return in April, after the RBA’s pause in rates at 3.60%.The unexpected...

Markets love a narrative. But the host of competing narratives leaves equities exposed to downside risk. Remain defensive to manage risk.