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Buy Hold Sell
Livewire Live
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Buy Hold Sell
Fund in Focus
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Success and More Interesting Stuff
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unemployment
Latest news and analysis on unemployment
Macro
September 03, 2024 08:30
Why the odds are now in favour of a softer landing
Could the economy be dodging a recession? New data suggests a softer outcome might be on the horizon
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
September 03, 2024 08:30
Macro
August 23, 2024 12:39
Soft landings nearly always prove elusive for the Fed
Soft landings are exceedingly rare in the US and the 1990s episode marks the only example of a successful soft landing.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
August 23, 2024 12:39
Macro
August 15, 2024 13:54
The Fed and the RBA part company on policy
Improving inflation is consistent with the Fed cutting rates next month, while a hawkish-sounding RBA plans to keep rates on hold.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
August 15, 2024 13:54
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Macro
August 13, 2024 08:00
Dark clouds ahead: The rising risk of a US recession
Based on recent developments, we believe the likelihood of a recession occurring within the next 9 to 12 months is more likely than not.
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
August 13, 2024 08:00
Macro
August 05, 2024 17:16
The drivers of higher unemployment across countries
Weaker demand for labour explains higher unemployment in most countries, but Australia's jobless rate has edged up on increased supply.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
August 05, 2024 17:16
Macro
August 05, 2024 08:39
Meeting the Sahm rule recession threshold supports a September Fed rate cut
The US unemployment rate has edged above most estimates of the NAIRU for the first time since 2021, supporting a Fed rate cut next month.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
August 05, 2024 08:39
Macro
July 11, 2024 17:44
Fed policy, the Sahm rule and the risk of recession
Rising unemployment has almost reached the "Sahm rule" threshold that has historically been a useful guide to US recessions.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
July 11, 2024 17:44
Macro
July 04, 2024 16:06
Risks around a sharp rise in unemployment
Falling job vacancies could see sharp increases in unemployment in the US and UK, while the EA and Australia look further from this point.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
July 04, 2024 16:06
Macro
May 01, 2024 11:24
New Zealand in recession
NZ unemployment continues to rise as employment falls.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 01, 2024 11:24
Macro
January 15, 2024 09:00
Earnings season forecasts are diverging at a historic pace
For our first pack of new charts in 2024, we take a deep dive into historic trends.
Macrobond Financial
January 15, 2024 09:00
Fixed Income
November 21, 2023 18:56
Watching grass grow
On fixed rate bond exposure, now is not the time to have zero, but it is not the time to fill your boots.
Charlie Callan
BondAdviser
November 21, 2023 18:56
Macro
October 30, 2023 09:00
Real yields, Taiwanese trade and Bitcoin’s rally
This week’s charts begin with a historic look at US bond returns
Macrobond Financial
October 30, 2023 09:00
Macro
October 19, 2023 16:40
Higher Q3 inflation should see the RBA raise rates
The very tight labour market is still easing a little, ahead of key inflation data next week.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
October 19, 2023 16:40
Macro
August 11, 2023 14:33
Chinese CPI y/y fell -0.3%, US core inflation m/m steady at 0.2%
Weekly Update | 11th August, 2023
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
August 11, 2023 14:33
Macro
July 03, 2023 09:01
Charts of the Week - Foreign workers in Japan, equities’ waning appeal and disinflation
This week’s charts begin by visualising the steady increase in foreign workers hosted by historically immigration-averse Japan.
Macrobond Financial
July 03, 2023 09:01
Macro
June 06, 2023 16:03
The RBA hikes again & signals the risk of more to come
The RBA is worried by high inflation and wants to anchor expectations.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
June 06, 2023 16:03
Macro
March 06, 2023 11:48
Charts of the week: European jobs, inflation and the markets, and entrepreneurial women
This week’s charts visualise different effects of inflation
Macrobond Financial
March 06, 2023 11:48
Macro
May 19, 2022 12:54
Why Australia's latest jobs report may not gift a big rate hike in June
Roll up, roll up, we have yet another labour force surprise. But it's not the surprise we are used to. The good news? For the first time since 1974, unemployment is...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
May 19, 2022 12:54
Macro
May 03, 2022 11:55
A difficult balancing act as the RBA starts raising rates
With the RBA about to start raising rates for the first time since 2010, it will be trying to manage a challenging economic mix of very low unemployment and high...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 03, 2022 11:55
Macro
January 26, 2022 14:05
It was clear the RBA needed to raise rates this year before the inflation data...
The RBA should continue to wind back the policy stimulus delivered during the pandemic when it meets next month. The RBA will stop buying government bonds and there is...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
January 26, 2022 14:05
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