us federal reserve

The link between oil prices and inflation isn't as clear cut as it might first appear

Throughout history, many, many, banks have failed. In the US, bank failures are surprisingly common and even in more recent times – the Federal Deposit Insurance...

We've consistently argued that unprecedented interest rate increases by central banks would break things, triggering a big default cycle. The US, which has experienced...

We're less convinced of a soft landing for global markets but expect this year will be better than the last, with some big bright spots.

A keen eye on the inflationary threat, rather than its own communication errors, is what the RBA (and the economy) needs right now, says Stephen Miller

First Sentier Investors’ asset class experts share their ideas about what’s ahead in 2023. 

The Oaktree Capital co-founder's latest memo reflects on the events and investor beliefs that led us to this point and provides some thoughts on the future.

Wishful thinking is not normally rewarded by the share market, mainly because it suggests a short-term investment horizon, and remember, great long-term returns from...

The Federal Reserve’s decision to increase the upper limit of its benchmark overnight lending rate by 75 basis points (bps) to 4.00% was easy for the market to...

US stocks probably have some way to fall before bottoming out, and cash is a decent place to hide right now: these are a couple of the key takeaways from my recent...

What's that noise, you ask? That’s the sound of pressure being released out of the market. We've heard an ever louder cacophony of bearish market calls in recent...

When markets crash sharply, as they did earlier this year, it can be a mistake to assume that as soon as the falls peter out, the market will then naturally...

The head of Oaktree Capital uses an automotive analogy to answer a question that’s on the minds of many investors today: How should you think about risk? Marks says...

This past week has seen Wall Street flooded with earnings releases as the July reporting season hits full flow. A good earnings season with plenty of positive...

It isn't every day you meet an investor with an Honours Degree in Scottish History. However, I recently spoke with Iain Fulton, the Edinburgh, Scotland-based...

Inflation is the topic du jour. And for good reason. Inflation in the United States is at the highest level in 40 years, running at a staggering annualised rate of...

Shares have had an awful start to the year. Portfolios are bleeding and savers are scared. Forget about making money, the problem is holding on to it. For years US...

By that measure, Schroders Australia's Simon Doyle is a battle-scarred veteran. The Asian crisis, the tech wreck and the GFC are just a few of the market downturns...

Rate hikes are an exceptionally blunt, roundabout way to kill today's inflation. US Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell acknowledged as much in his address to...

Government bonds were traditionally favoured for their non-correlation to equity markets. But even before COVID arrived on our doorstep more than two years ago, the...