FAR offers an example of typical market responses to exploration efforts as a company moves through its development cycle

John Robertson

PortfolioDirect

FAR offers an example of typical market responses to exploration efforts as a company moves through its development cycle. On 7 October, the company announced a significant well discovery in offshore Senegal. In the lead-up to the announcement and in the following day, the price rose 292%. On 10 November, the company announced a second significant discovery. On this occasion, the price went up 36% before giving up 25 percentage points of this return. The second result was possibly of a higher quality but less of a surprise. Given the risk, the return probably did not warrant the investment exposure. FAR is showing itself to be unusually successful in managing one of the highest risk activities in the resources sector, namely, offshore oil and gas exploration. It has funded drilling commitments by farming-out positions to better capitalised companies although, now, attention will increasingly turn to the multi-billion dollar development costs and the prospective returns on capital from an eventual development. Exploration success adds to the certainty of development but becomes less worthy of re-pricing.


John Robertson
John Robertson
PortfolioDirect

John Robertson is Chief Investment Strategist for PortfolioDirect a provider of resource sector investment stock ratings and portfolio strategies for mining and oil and gas investors. He has worked as a policy economist, corporate business...

Expertise

No areas of expertise

I would like to

Only to be used for sending genuine email enquiries to the Contributor. Livewire Markets Pty Ltd reserves its right to take any legal or other appropriate action in relation to misuse of this service.

Personal Information Collection Statement
Your personal information will be passed to the Contributor and/or its authorised service provider to assist the Contributor to contact you about your investment enquiry. They are required not to use your information for any other purpose. Our privacy policy explains how we store personal information and how you may access, correct or complain about the handling of personal information.

Comments

Sign In or Join Free to comment