Gold ETF flows remain resilient despite June reversal

The first half of 2026 saw managed money net longs remain stable as retail positioning tracked short-term price movements
World Gold Council

World Gold Council

H1 flows remain positive
  • June saw continued outflows from funds listed in all regions, yet global gold ETF flows have remained positive y-t-d.
  • Global gold ETFs’ AUM reached US$526bn by the end of June, a 6% fall in H1 due mainly to a lower gold price; collective holdings in the first half were up 18t to 4,047t.
  • Gold market trading volumes pulled back in June yet the H1 average reached an all-time high.

Global investors further trimmed their gold ETF holdings in June. Physically backed gold ETFs[1] saw outflows of US$8.9bn in the month. All regions experienced outflows with North America losing the most. In the month, global gold ETFs’ total assets under management (AUM) fell 13% to US$526bn, whilst holdings reduced by 74t to 4,047t.

Despite June’s loss, global gold ETF flows remained positive at US$8bn in H1. Asia dominated global inflows – the region’s strongest H1 on record – during the first half while North America was the only region with losses. Europe saw healthy inflows. Global gold ETFs’ AUM fell 6% in H1, reflecting the lower gold price despite positive inflows. Collective holdings rose slightly by 18t (Chart 1).

*As of 30 June 2026. Collective holdings are end-of-period levels. Source: Bloomberg, Company Filings, World Gold Council
*As of 30 June 2026. Collective holdings are end-of-period levels. 

Source: Bloomberg, Company Filings, World Gold Council

Regional overview

North American funds lost US$5.5bn in June, bringing the region’s H1 outflows to US$7.7bn and resulting in the weakest first half since 2013. The notable gold price pullback in the month served as a key driver for investors to dial back their allocation to gold ETFs. As new Fed Chair Warsh sent hawkish – as the market interpreted – signals and the US-Iran conflict pushed inflation fears up, expectations intensified of higher interest rates ahead. This anticipation contributed to rising real yields and a strengthening dollar, pushing up investors’ opportunity costs of holding gold.

Looking ahead, regional gold ETF flows could stabilise. The macro consensus scenario in our 2026 Mid-Year Gold Outlook suggests relatively stable gold performances in H2, with potential catalysts possibly brewing a breakout in other scenarios. Meanwhile, uncertainties surrounding geopolitics, economic growth and financial markets linger. This backdrop may continue to support investor demand for portfolio protection and sustain interest in gold ETFs as a strategic safe-haven allocation.

European funds lost US$818mn in June, trimming their H1 inflows to US$3.2bn. Outflows were seen across major markets in the region during June. Across the region we believe gold price weakness has been a major factor leading to net sales of gold ETFs by investors. Also in June, the European Central Bank hiked rates by 25bps, the first time since September 2023 citing inflation concerns amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict. This move may have deterred some investors from gold. We have also observed continued outflows from FX-hedged products listed in the region, mainly in Switzerland amid local currency depreciation against the dollar, adding to European fund losses in June.

Asia witnessed outflows of US$2.3bn in June, the worst month on record. Despite so, the region experienced their strongest H1 ever, leading global inflows with US$12bn addition. The June loss was mainly from Chinese funds, as local investor risk appetite continued to improve amid equity market gains and a strengthening local currency that amplified the gold price weakness in RMB terms. Japanese funds also saw outflows in the month as the Bank of Japan hiked rates; local yields are expected to rise further. India buckled the trend, attracting inflows in the month as local investors remained optimistic about the gold price and view the dip as entry opportunities.
Funds in other regions saw mild outflows of US$262mn in June, trimming their y-t-d buying to US$106mn. In June, Australian funds shed US$197mn and funds in South Africa lost US$36mn.
*As of 30 June 2026. ‘Global inflows/Positive demand’ refers to the sum of changes of all funds that saw a net increase in holdings over a given period (e.g. month, quarter, etc.). Conversely,
‘Global outflows/Negative demand’ aggregates changes from funds that saw holdings decline over the same period. 2025 averages reflect the full-year average based on final monthly figures.
Note: Differences between fund flows and changes in holdings (demand) are driven by the mechanics of FX-hedged funds. For more information, see ETF Flows Data Methodology.
Source: Bloomberg, Company Filings, ICE Benchmark Administration, World Gold Council
*As of 30 June 2026. ‘Global inflows/Positive demand’ refers to the sum of changes of all funds that saw a net increase in holdings over a given period (e.g. month, quarter, etc.). Conversely,
‘Global outflows/Negative demand’ aggregates changes from funds that saw holdings decline over the same period. 2025 averages reflect the full-year average based on final monthly figures.
Note: Differences between fund flows and changes in holdings (demand) are driven by the mechanics of FX-hedged funds. For more information, see ETF Flows Data Methodology.
Source: Bloomberg, Company Filings, ICE Benchmark Administration, World Gold Council

An unprecedented H1

Global gold market trading volumes[2] moderated in June, falling 13% m/m to an average of US$373bn/day as activity cooled across over-the-counter (OTC) and exchange-traded markets. OTC activities declined 13% to US$214bn/day, although continued to run well above the 2025 average of US$180bn/day. Trading volumes at the LBMA averaged US$187bn/day in June, 14% lower than May but 16% higher than the 2025 average. Meanwhile, exchange-traded contract volumes fell 13% to US$153bn/day. The notable exception was the gold ETF market, where trading activity increased 23% m/m to US$6.9bn/day, reflecting sustained investor interest.

Global gold market liquidity surged to record levels in H1 at US$488bn per day; the strongest semi-annual average in our data series (Chart 2). Strength was broad-based, with every major segment posting its most active semi-annual averages on record. OTC trading, led by the LBMA, averaged US$249bn/day, substantially above 2025 levels and underscoring the depth of institutional participation.

Exchange-traded volumes also jumped, reaching US$227bn/day – 22% higher than the 2025 average – supported by elevated investor activity. Meanwhile, global gold ETF trading averaged US$12bn/day – up 73% from 2025 – fuelled primarily by robust trading in US funds as investors increasingly turned to gold amid heightened macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty.

Despite a weaker gold price, total COMEX net longs rebounded by 16% m/m to 538t, the highest month-end level since January.[3] It is noteworthy that managed money net longs have been rising since early June despite a weakening gold price. A closer look at the CFTC positioning data reveals a divergence across investor cohorts: while non-reportable net longs – a proxy for retail participation – reduced during the month, other reportables, which capture large trades outside the managed money category, increased by 16% m/m.

Over H1, managed money net longs remained broadly stable, declining by just 43t y-t-d. Investor behaviour through H1 differed: retail positioning largely tracked short-term price movements while larger traders’ positions have, in general, stayed stable since mid-March.
*Data as of 30 June 2026. Gold price based on the monthly average LBMA PM Gold Price USD.
For more information on trading volumes please visit our Trading Volumes page on Goldhub: Gold Trading Volume | Gold Daily Volume | World Gold Council.
Source: Bloomberg, Nasdaq, COMEX, ICE Benchmark Administration, Shanghai Gold Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, ETF providers, Multi Commodity Exchange of India, Dubai
Gold & Commodities Exchange, Japan Exchange Group, Thailand Futures Exchange, Borsa Istanbul, Bursa Malaysia, Korea Exchange, World Gold Council.
*Data as of 30 June 2026. Gold price based on the monthly average LBMA PM Gold Price USD.
For more information on trading volumes please visit our Trading Volumes page on Goldhub: Gold Trading Volume | Gold Daily Volume | World Gold Council.
Source: Bloomberg, Nasdaq, COMEX, ICE Benchmark Administration, Shanghai Gold Exchange, Shanghai Futures Exchange, ETF providers, Multi Commodity Exchange of India, Dubai
Gold & Commodities Exchange, Japan Exchange Group, Thailand Futures Exchange, Borsa Istanbul, Bursa Malaysia, Korea Exchange, World Gold Council.


*As of 30 June 2026. For more information on holdings by country please visit our ETF Flows page on Goldhub: Gold ETFs, holdings and flows | World Gold Council
Note: Differences between fund flows and changes in holdings (demand) are driven by the mechanics of FX-hedged funds. For more information, see ETF Flows Data Methodology.
Source: Bloomberg, Company Filings, ICE Benchmark Administration, World Gold Council
*As of 30 June 2026. For more information on holdings by country please visit our ETF Flows page on Goldhub: Gold ETFs, holdings and flows | World Gold Council Note: Differences between fund flows and changes in holdings (demand) are driven by the mechanics of FX-hedged funds. For more information, see ETF Flows Data Methodology. Source: Bloomberg, Company Filings, ICE Benchmark Administration, World Gold Council

To read more insights from the World Gold Council, click here

........
Footnotes : [1] We define gold ETFs as regulated securities that hold gold in physical form. These include open-ended funds traded on regulated exchanges and other regulated products such as closed-end funds and mutual funds. A complete list is included in the gold ETF section of Goldhub.com. [2] Due to LBMA trading volume data availability, our full trading volume dataset dates back to 2019. [3] Based on CFTC positioning report as of 23 June 2026 due to a delay in reporting amid US holiday arrangements.

World Gold Council
World Gold Council

We are a membership organisation that champions the role gold plays as a strategic asset, shaping the future of a responsible and accessible gold supply chain. Our team of experts builds understanding of the use case and possibilities of gold...

Expertise

No areas of expertise

I would like to

Only to be used for sending genuine email enquiries to the Contributor. Livewire Markets Pty Ltd reserves its right to take any legal or other appropriate action in relation to misuse of this service.

Personal Information Collection Statement
Your personal information will be passed to the Contributor and/or its authorised service provider to assist the Contributor to contact you about your investment enquiry. They are required not to use your information for any other purpose. Our privacy policy explains how we store personal information and how you may access, correct or complain about the handling of personal information.

Comments

Sign In or Join Free to comment
The 10th annual Livewire Live 2026

One room. One day. The minds that move markets.

22 September 2026 Art Gallery of NSW, Sydney

Register Now