It's all about US non-farm payrolls tonight at 23:30 and the market expects a lofty 200,000 jobs will be created

Chris Weston

Pepperstone

It's all about US non-farm payrolls tonight at 23:30 and the market expects a lofty 200,000 jobs will be created. The range from economists is 275,000 to 150,000 and this is about as optimistic as I have seen in a while. Last night's services ISM was slightly weaker than forecast, but the employment sub-component saw the biggest one-day increase ever (going from 47.5 to 53.6), while the ADP private payrolls (released on Tuesday) was also strong. I feel the market is probably positioned for a number closer to 220,000 so anything below 180,000 should see a reasonable USD sell-off. Saying that a good number and it could start the USD off on a much stronger longer-term rally in my opinion.


Chris Weston
Head of Research
Pepperstone

Highly accomplished financial markets professional, with experience at a number of top-tier global institutions on both the buy and sell-side. A natural communicator with a strong ability to analyse macro-economic trends, capital flows and market...

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