QE programs only have a real positive impact on an economy when markets are dysfunctional
QE programs only have a real positive impact on an economy when markets are dysfunctional. This was clearly the case in 2008 in the US, but was not the case in both 2010 and 2012 and I don't think that the US central bank policy added much to the recovery once the global financial crisis had passed. I believe that the same is happening in Europe now with the ECB introducing QE just as signs are emerging that growth is trending upwards and that the worst is over for the region for the time being... The interesting thing was the near-euphoria exhibited by Mario Draghi overnight with strong upgrades to growth and inflation in the next two years, which appear completely overdone given the structural issues at play in the region. Nevertheless, with higher anticipated growth and inflation, the big question then becomes how long will the QE program last if the region defies the fundamentals and improves, and will Germany insist on tapering the program before September 2016 if that is the case? Read further: (VIEW LINK)
The Perpetual Equity Investment Company Limited is an ASX listed investment company offering investors access to a portfolio of predominantly high quality Australian and global listed securities, selected by Perpetual Investment Management Limited.