The best investment in the whole world
Here’s something to send to your kids. It appears to be irritating to younger investors that seemingly less gifted people than themselves fluked 40 golden years of extraordinary property and stockmarket appreciation. Golden years that, since the global financial crisis, are by no means guaranteed to repeat. The younger generation might never enjoy the 40-year golden period that came to an end with the GFC.
The older generation, like myself, took out a mortgage the moment they could afford to. The advice at the time from our parents’ generation was to get on the first rung of the property market as soon as possible.
Of course, this was 1982, ten years into the credit boom, or more accurately, the “debt boom” that started somewhere in the early 1970s. The availability of debt has not been eternal. In those days you had to suck up to the banks, wear a suit to the interview, and promise them that your parents would repay every dollar if you didn’t. Only then would they begrudgingly open their wallets.
At the time, I was working for an investment bank in the UK, which, unprovoked by me or any other employees, suddenly offered us all flash company cars on a salary-sacrifice basis, and three times our salaries in mortgage loans at a discounted interest rate with fast-tracked approval.
We all suddenly went from poor renters in the scruffy outer suburbs of London driving beaten-up Mark III Cortinas to property-owning yuppies driving new Golf GTIs and living in Chelsea. I have been living with debt ever since.
But it has paid off enormously. Since 1974 the property market, if you believe the numbers, has possibly returned about 10 per cent a year. A 10 per cent return over 36 years, compounded, will turn $100,000 into $3,090,000. If you had bought a house in Australia in 1974 for $100,000, then that equation is probably about right. The bloke that lives over the back of my fence did a bit better; he bought two blocks for £450 a bit earlier than 1974. Inflation has paid off that mortgage.
Of course, some Australians got on the property ladder a little bit later than 1974, and you can now generally measure the wealth of an Australian by their age, which dictates when they started to take responsibility for themselves and consequently bought a house. They are now sitting on a handsome asset, and while it may appear effortless to the new generations, there is a lesson for younger people in their success.
The reason the Australian property buyer has made money stems not from the property market itself, although that has helped enormously, but from the enforced attitude to debt that comes with a large debt.
Property has forced property owners to be disciplined, to pay off capital, to control their spending, but most importantly, to get out of bed in the mornings with purpose. A mortgage, school fees, and not enough super (since super only started in 1991) are tremendous motivators. In fact, there is an argument, as evidenced by the miserable state of some of the very wealthy, that the more liabilities you have, including mortgages, debt, family dependents and particularly kids, the more you get out of life because the more you are driven to succeed through effort.
Now translate this to a generation that hasn’t fluked the property boom, and doesn’t have enough capital to exploit the synchronous stockmarket boom, and you have a conundrum. Do they now borrow a million dollars and get their foot on the first rung of the property market, or do they embark on aggressive stockmarket speculation in order to even things up between themselves and the lucky generations that went before them?
My suggestion is this: neither. Your best investment in your early 20s is not property or stockmarket speculation, your best investment is in your brain, your career, and, if you are half smart, the business you build that into.
As any business owner will tell you, or as Robert Kiyosaki’s book Rich Dad Poor Dad will confirm, real capital is created by building assets, your own assets.
Plan on that, because there’s a little-known fact about the stockmarket you won’t get told: the stockmarket is there to invest money you’ve made, not make money you haven’t.
Go and make some money first, come back to the stockmarket later. There’s nothing for nothing here.
Marcus Padley founded Marcus Today in 1998 and leads the team of analysts and market commentators that publishes a daily stock market newsletter, presents four podcasts and runs an $80m Australian equity fund. He is passionate about educating and...