The markets seem to have had a rosier view of the US economy than the US Federal Reserve policymakers

John Robertson

PortfolioDirect

The markets seem to have had a rosier view of the US economy than the US Federal Reserve policymakers. Even with somewhat stronger growth and a slightly lower unemployment rate, the slack in the labour market remains a daunting challenge for the Fed to overcome. Even taking account of the demographic shifts toward a lower participation rate, there is little apparent risk of overstimulating. Bernanke said as much while raising the possibility of an accommodating policy even after the target unemployment rate had been reached because of the fall in labour participation. See my wire from 9 September. Also, in the aftermath of the Fed decision, see my 13 September wire about the risk in assuming unquestioningly that the Australian dollar is inevitably going lower. The Fed is unlikely to take account of Australia's needs.


John Robertson
John Robertson
PortfolioDirect

John Robertson is Chief Investment Strategist for PortfolioDirect a provider of resource sector investment stock ratings and portfolio strategies for mining and oil and gas investors. He has worked as a policy economist, corporate business...

Expertise

No areas of expertise

I would like to

Only to be used for sending genuine email enquiries to the Contributor. Livewire Markets Pty Ltd reserves its right to take any legal or other appropriate action in relation to misuse of this service.

Personal Information Collection Statement
Your personal information will be passed to the Contributor and/or its authorised service provider to assist the Contributor to contact you about your investment enquiry. They are required not to use your information for any other purpose. Our privacy policy explains how we store personal information and how you may access, correct or complain about the handling of personal information.

Comments

Sign In or Join Free to comment