The weekly jobless claims data from the USA offer some guidance to the trajectory of the US equity market between earnings reports
John Robertson
PortfolioDirect
The weekly jobless claims data from the USA offer some guidance to the trajectory of the US equity market between earnings reports. The chart for 27 September at (VIEW LINK) shows the S&P 500 (red line) and the weekly jobless claims four week moving average (blue line). As the market tracks to new highs, the jobless claims are hitting new cyclical lows. The right hand scale on the chart has been inverted to highlight the connection. Falling jobless claims point to a greater willingness on the part of business to employ suggesting better business profitability and confidence. The numbers also imply improving consumer spending power flagging improved business revenues. The translation of the employment data into actual earnings will again come under the microscope in mid October when September quarter earnings reports begin to flow.
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John Robertson is Chief Investment Strategist for PortfolioDirect a provider of resource sector investment stock ratings and portfolio strategies for mining and oil and gas investors. He has worked as a policy economist, corporate business strategist and investment market professional for over 30 years after starting his career as a Commonwealth Treasury economist in Canberra. Since being Australia's top-rated commodities analyst and chief economist at one of Australia' leading stockbroking firms, he has advised companies across the mining, consumer products, IT and biotech sectors on their equity market relations. He leads the firm's investment evaluation and security structuring activities on behalf of the Australian Small Scale Offerings Board (ASSOB), the world's first equity 'crowdfunding' investment platform. John Robertson discusses the interaction of mining and investment markets in his weekly 'From the Capital' column in Mining Journal.
John Robertson
PortfolioDirect
John Robertson is Chief Investment Strategist for PortfolioDirect a provider of resource sector investment stock ratings and portfolio strategies for mining and oil and gas investors. He has worked as a policy economist, corporate business...
Expertise
No areas of expertise
John Robertson
PortfolioDirect
John Robertson is Chief Investment Strategist for PortfolioDirect a provider of resource sector investment stock ratings and portfolio strategies for mining and oil and gas investors. He has worked as a policy economist, corporate business...
Expertise
No areas of expertise
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