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Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Surprise, surprise – The global economy forges ahead

The first quarter of 2024 has surprised on the economic front. Instead of the anticipated slowdown, coupled with US outperformance ending, what we saw was global...
State Street Global Advisors
State Street Global Advisors
Macro

April 2024 Podcasts

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

The scenario the Fed and RBA fear the most is upon us: Stagflation!

Inflation is heating up as economic growth is slowing. Should central banks hike rates to fight inflation or cut them to help the economy?
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

The Fed is challenged by higher inflation in Q1

Underlying inflation has picked up sharply in Q1 on a range of measures.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Australian CPI rises by 1.0% q/q, US corporate earnings mixed with a positive bias

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 26 April 2024
COH
CSL
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Higher inflation should see the RBA revise up its outlook

History suggests that there is the risk that the RBA revises up its longer term forecasts of inflation.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The RBA should warn that it could raise rates again

High inflation reinforces that the RBA should have raised rates by more last year, in line with its peers.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Australian inflation was hotter than expected. Here's why

Australian inflation has ticked up - is this a bump in the road or was the end of 2023 the bottom?
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

What investors should know about China's economy

A guide to making sense of China's economic data.
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Why the RBA won't follow the Federal Reserve (and what it means for your money)

Central banks are starting to splinter, and that has big implications for whatever asset class you are in.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Troubled times ahead?

All good things come to an end - eventually. In this case, the good things are the rate cuts and the "eventually" is yet to be written.
Gopi Karunakaran
Ardea Investment Management
Macro

Australia's corporate insolvencies have hit their highest level in at least 25 years

The monthly number of insolvencies has reached the highest level since ASIC began compiling statistics in 1999.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Implications of a changing world

Markets face headwinds from geopolitics, protectionism, deficits, and demographics, but AI is one of several causes for optimism
Alex Cathcart
Drummond Capital Partners
Macro

Progress in reducing NZ underlying inflation stalled in Q1, likely frustrating the RBNZ

NZ inflation showed a continued striking contrast between weak goods prices and persistent services inflation.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The (renewed) worry list for shares - and 5 reasons to remain optimistic

Shares are vulnerable to a bout of volatility - but here are 5 reasons why the trend will likely remain up.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

7 commodities (and 8 stocks) to watch in this complex market

This episode's Signal or Noise panel is split on whether this breakout is a false signal or a generational opportunity.
DEG
PDN
+4
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

5 reasons why Australian inflation will not follow the US

Does the recent uptick in US inflation data mean that Australian inflation will also remain higher than expected in 2024?
Diana Mousina
AMP
Macro

NZ OCR held steady at 5.50%, US CPI rises 0.4% m/m

Weekly Update | 12th April, 2024
BHP
FMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

3 reasons for investor optimism despite global challenges

We believe there is plenty investors can take solace from including positive structural trends across credit markets, technology and ESG.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

US inflation data torpedoes June cut hopes. What’s the path of US interest rates now?

Yesterday's US CPI data was worse than expected, so what's the timing of the US interest rate cuts now? (Hint: far fewer and much later!)
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

What's hot in commodities right now

In this edition of the Signal or Noise Rapid Fire, we take on the commodities world with lightning speed.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Higher US inflation, derails Fed rate cut plans and poses a threat to risky assets

Higher core inflation will disappoint the Fed and shake optimism about risk assets.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Dude, where’s my recession? How to invest for diverging markets

Monetary policy is starting to diverge, with the impact on markets being the story of returns in 2024. Here's what you should know.
Arian Neiron
VanEck
Macro

March jobs report shows a picture of strength

The March jobs report brought yet more evidence of a very strong labor market. Payroll gains exceeded 300,000, beating almost all Wall Street forecasts. Yet, average...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

US ISM Manufacturing PMI records 50.3, Crude oil inventories rise to 3.2M barrels

Weekly Update | 5th April, 2024
COH
CSL
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
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