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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

An optimist's guide to 2024's most important economic risks (Part 2)

Following on from Part 1, Yarra's Tim Toohey shares his thoughts on how macro optimism is informing the team's asset allocation calls.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

China's property crisis is far from over

It was sometime in mid to late 2021 when Evergrande first hit mainstream headlines. At the time, there were increasing reports that the developer was in financial...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Will the RBA wait until inflation is less than 3% to start cutting?

Analysis of previous examples of the RBA cutting interest rates before inflation was in the target range provides insights on what to expect
Jonathan Kearns
Challenger
Macro

How vulnerable are the world's biggest economies to a recession?

We recently created a “recession dashboard” for the US. It proved so popular that we’ve expanded this visualisation to more countries.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

An optimist's guide to 2024's most important economic risks (Part 1)

Inspired by a Bloomberg article, we ask one of Livewire's most optimistic contributors to quell the fears of the pessimists.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

J.P. Morgan warns investors: No "immaculate disinflation" on the cards for markets

And why investors should be more nuanced when allocating to various assets in this market.
Ally Selby
Livewire Markets
Macro

New regime, same outcome

It's the first episode of The Rate Debate for 2024!
Darren Langer
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

How much do inflation expectations matter?

Central banks pay close attention to inflation expectations but recent RBA research suggests many consumers misunderstand the key concepts
Diana Mousina
AMP
Macro

The RBA holds interest rates again - but does more need to be done?

The question now is how and when the central bank decides to cut.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Everything you need to know about today's RBA meeting

The first RBA two-day monetary policy meeting concludes today (Tuesday). For the first time, the Statement on Monetary Policy and forecasts are being released at the...
Jonathan Kearns
Challenger
Macro

How to maximise your returns in 2024 and beyond

I recently wrote about my two big forecasts for 2024. One was that private credit would gain traction as an important asset class and would also feature more...
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

Will the Goldilocks market continue in 2024?

Rate cuts, loosening financial conditions, and a rally in credit markets all created a fantastic Christmas for markets. But can it continue?
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

The global rebound in house prices narrows as commercial property prices have slumped

The global rebound in house prices has become more narrowly based, while US and European commercial property prices have slumped.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The easing cycle to come risks being the same as the last

As the RBA shapes up to potentially cut rates in 2024 should we be asking more from monetary policy and monetary policy-makers?
Alex Joiner
Alex Joiner
IFM Investors
Macro

Funds flow into China, central banking and the US energy mix

This edition of Charts of the Week takes a global look at central banking, examining how key policy rates intertwine with inflation levels.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

US labour market has a strong start to 2024

US employment growth was strong, unemployment held steady and wages growth accelerated in January
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Policy rules and risks to current market pricing of interest rates

CCI used policy rules to judge the risks around market pricing of rates in the US, euro area and Australia.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Chinese manufacturing PMI ticked up to 49.2, UK leaves interest rates unchanged at 5.25%

Weekly Update | 2nd February, 2024
GMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Uncertainty in China Continues

Key Points: • China’s economy has been showing signs of recovery following piecemeal stimulus through 2023. • However, equity markets have yet to respond, with the...
Alex Cathcart
Drummond Capital Partners
Macro

Is Australian monetary policy tight enough?

Inflation has slowed sharply and markets now assume the RBA has slayed the inflation dragon and is pricing the first rate cut by mid-year.
Jonathan Kearns
Challenger
Macro

Subsidies exaggerate the improvement in underlying inflation

Government subsidies appear to overstate the improvement in underlying inflation heading into Q1.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Is it time to fix that term deposit rate? What to expect from the RBA and interest rates in 2024

Latest CPI data shows Australian inflation continues to moderate, triggering a substantial shift in market sentiment on interest rates.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

Don't expect a Fed cut in March

At the January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, the benchmark policy rate remained at 5.25%-5.50% for the fourth consecutive meeting, which was in line...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

The Fed abandons interest rate guidance: What's next?

A notable pushback from Jerome Powell hits the markets hard.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

The 5 biggest themes for investors in 2024

Morgan Stanley's Australian Investment Primer 2024 shares its forecasts and tips for the year.
AD8
CHN
CXO
+11
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
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