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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

UK Claimant count increases to 50.4K, US Federal Reserve holds steady at 5.50%

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 21 June 2024
BHP
FMG
ORG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

272,000 US jobs is not the same in old money

Interest rate cuts are being delayed, a pattern repeated many times this year.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

Retailers feeling the heat (or lack of it!)

The RBA retains a mildly hawkish bias, which looks increasingly offsides to the domestic economy, which continues to weaken. We position accordingly.
KMD
David Berthon-Jones
Aequitas Investment Partners
Macro

Morgan Stanley’s 5 high conviction calls for the next 6 months

And why the team is overweight European and Japanese equities
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

More Power!

Key Points: • Global electricity demand is expected to continue to rise in the decades ahead, driven by emerging markets trending towards developed market status, the...
Alex Cathcart
Drummond Capital Partners
Macro

The RBA did not consider a cut at its June meeting - but it did consider a hike

The narrow path to a soft landing, in the RBA Governor's own words, "appears to be getting narrower".
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Why Labor needs these investors to make key policy measures work

And a recap of what Federal Treasurer Dr Jim Chalmers MP has budgeted for.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Forget June meeting, August still ‘live’ for RBA rate hike –Morgan Stanley

Tomorrow’s RBA meeting isn't expected to yield a change, but August's meeting is 'live' for a rate hike according to Morgan Stanley.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

Federal Reserve dot plot is conflicted and open to persuasion

Recent focus has centered on the Federal Open Market Committee’s dot plot, which now suggests just one rate cut in 2024. However, a closer examination reveals the...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

UK Claimant count increases to 50.4K, US Federal Reserve holds steady at 5.50%

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 15 June 2024
BHP
FMG
GMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Policy rules point to central banks diverging on rates

A policy rule still points to a slow/shallow rate cut cycle in the US, steady rate cuts in the EA, and that the RBA should hiked a bit more.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

A September cut is back on the table

May CPI Data - Seema Shah
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Just one cut this year… but do they reeeeallly mean that?

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept the benchmark policy rate at 5.25%-5.50% today for the seventh consecutive meeting. More significantly, the latest dot...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

6 opportunities for Australian income investors

TDs are the safest bet around - but are they the smartest?
HLI
SUN
WOR
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

One step forward, two steps back - May Jobs Report

Payroll gains were hotter than expected in May, slamming the door shut on any hopes of a July policy rate cut. The latest jobs report showed that 272,000 non-farm...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Morgan Stanley’s mid-year outlook and implications for Australian investors

Morgan Stanley recently updated its macro and market assumptions for 2024 and 2025. We present the key take outs and implications.
Alexandre Ventelon
Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Macro

Can anything stop the credit train?

The factors that have supported a strong US and Australia credit market are unlikely to continue
Andrew Canobi
Franklin Templeton
Macro

3 investors nominate their favourite income asset pick for the next 5 years

Signal or Noise presents its Income Investing edition sneak peek!
ORG
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Different ways to 2%

Central banks will likely maintain a 2% inflation target in the coming years.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Macro

A rate cut for the ECB today, but then what?

As widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its key policy rates for the first time in five years. The interest rate on the main refinancing operations,...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

A more resilient consumer and excess savings

The consumer looks in better shape than the RBA had feared, with spending revised up as households tap still-substantial excess savings.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

How to position for a lukewarm Australian economy

The positioning implications are, we think, relatively straightforward. But first, to the numbers.
David Berthon-Jones
Aequitas Investment Partners
Macro

A tricky balancing act for the RBA

Sticky inflation and soggy growth has put RBA in a difficult spot with an extended period of on hold policy looking increasingly likely.
David Cassidy
Wilsons Advisory
Macro

Why investors can’t afford to dismiss this macro headwind as trivial

It may be treated by most investors as too academic, but the risk from excess government spending is very real.
Dr Christian Baylis
Fortlake Asset Management
Macro

Some relief from US core inflation matching expectations in April

The Fed is sidelined on rates for some time as it watches how inflation evolves after an unexpected surge in Q1.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
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