australian economy

Latest news and analysis on australian economy

Macro

The RBA marks down the neutral cash rate again

RBA staff have revised down the estimated neutral rate cash rate to c2¾%, although it is not clear if policy-makers take it at face value.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Asset Allocation

Nothing is cheap but there's no systemic crisis, Australia is going OK

In a wide ranging conversation, Schroders Head of Multi-Asset, Sebastian Mullins, gives his take on the global economy and markets
Chris Conway
Livewire Markets
Education

“We’re uncompetitive and soft”: Rob Millner on why companies won’t list, and houses don’t get built

Day by day, Australia is becoming less competitive – and it’s punishing investors and homebuyers alike.
BKW
Vishal Teckchandani
Livewire Markets
Macro

QLD's budget "black hole" a catalyst for government action

The new state government is forecasting a substantially worse budget outlook, with a massive increase in public debt.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

RBA still likely to argue demand is exceeding supply

Updated RBA estimates of spare capacity suggest that demand still exceeds supply, both in terms of activity and the labour market.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

RBA: Policy not as tight as peers, which is why inflation is higher

The RBA has highlighted how policy is less tight than other countries, such that inflation is higher than in nearly all its peers.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Could the RBA not cut interest rates at all?

A new view being espoused in the economics community is raising eyebrows. But does it have any legs?
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

These economists say there is just a 15% chance of a recession in Australia in 2024

And where will the Australian Dollar end the year? Find out the answer to this and other questions in the next episode of Signal or Noise!
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Australian corporate insolvencies set new record

ASIC Australian corporate insolvencies reached their highest level since monthly data were first published in January 1999.
Jason Lindeman
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Persistent excess demand vs returning inflation to target

The RBA optimistically expects inflation will return to target without spare capacity emerging in the economy.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Central banks are driving markets - here's what you need to know

The coming quarter will be dominated by central bank activity, along with geopolitical activity.
Arian Neiron
VanEck
Macro

Does a flood of excess capital mean higher valuations?

There are a lot of "potential" investors on my mailing list. Waiting for the right entry point into the market. Some have been there for almost a decade, watching,...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Australians continue to run down their COVID-era savings

Households continue to follow the US experience, drawing on the excess savings built up during the pandemic.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

RBA keeps interest rates on hold, no cut on the horizon

The RBA stayed on hold today, but there were several “subtle but important” changes to the statement. We investigate if a cut is any closer.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Equities

The 2024 Reporting Season: 8 Key Insights

Financial markets provide opportunity to increase exposure to some good and great Australian businesses.
NWS
+2
Michael Skinner
Blackwattle Investment Partners
Equities

What this quirky trend tells you about the economy (and 3 stocks to profit)

We humans are a strange bunch and one psychological quirk has a lot to say about the state of the world.
WES
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Canadian Core CPI rises to 2.9% y/y, The Australian economy adds 50.2k new jobs in June

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 19 July 2024
AMC
BXB
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Education

Phil Lowe on what really matters

The former RBA governor, who recently joined as Chair of Future Generation Australia, discusses some of the key issues for Australians
Future Generation
Future Generation
Macro

Risks around a sharp rise in unemployment

Falling job vacancies could see sharp increases in unemployment in the US and UK, while the EA and Australia look further from this point.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Asset Allocation

ASX large cap resources the new home for quality earnings, says Morgan Stanley

Their main argument is that the price cycle for this sector may be more bullish and last longer than investors expect.
BHP
PDN
+6
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
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