central banks

The ten things to watch in 2018

Saul Eslake
Saul Eslake Jamieson Coote Bonds - JCB

Here are ten things that I think will shape the global and Australian economies in 2018, and that expect I’ll be talking about at conferences and events over the course of the coming year. Show More

The equity experts are wrong about bonds

Angus Coote
Angus Coote Jamieson Coote Bonds - JCB

In recent times, many column inches have been devoted in the financial media about an impending disaster in the High Grade/Government Bond market. As Government Bond specialists, we at JCB are amused to see many so-called financial experts comment on a product they have neither sold nor traded. Despite this... Show More

central banks us federal reserve bond bubble Bondcano

Outlook 2018: Developed markets looking expensive

Jacob Mitchell
Jacob Mitchell Antipodes Partners

The year of 2017 was the year of the structural winner, with the market led higher by the digital platform “FAAMNGS” (the acronym keeps extending as the list of perceived winners broadens) and the stylistic domination of Growth. Disruption was never more topical with nothing appearing more disruptive than crypto-currency... Show More

Avoid these 11 habits for better performance

Livewire Exclusive

For decades, the prevailing view of financial markets was one of rational actors creating efficient prices. In recent years, particularly in the wake of the GFC, investors have increasingly adopted a very different view of how markets operate. Loss aversion bias, anchoring, and herding (among others) have all become popular... Show More

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Understanding your ‘inner chimp’

Chad Slater
Chad Slater Morphic Asset Management

To paraphrase from an excellent book, The Chimp Paradox; ‘to control your inner chimp, you first have to understand him/her’. This means understanding that your brain makes decisions that are not always in your best interest and the best way to do this set rules around certain behaviours to minimize... Show More

Pimco: 3 key risks to growth

Alex Cowie
Alex Cowie Livewire Markets

Pimco has just published an overview of the ‘vigorous internal discussions’ from their recent forum. They send a cautious message and point out 3 key risks to global growth. We have pulled out the key points, and provide the link to the full story below. Show More

oil growth pimco China demographics central banks macro

Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170912

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market jumped on global relief rally on less than expected hurricane damage and no missile test by NK. Local market had already priced in part of this relief rally upside yesterday as we moved on positive US futures…so we had the catch up session today. Given the China/Russia watered... Show More

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Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170911

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market delivered the first solid positive day in over a week on the optimism that US Hurricane damage was better than expected. Growth worries drove commodities lower over the weekend. Local market bounced on the open on the back of the banks as global investors increased exposure to cover... Show More

Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170831

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market bounced back on positive US and China economic data. The local business capex outlook data was positive but the weak consumer sentiment shows that one has not translated to the other since GFC. The GDP growth rate hit 3% and maintains the recovery pace we have seen in... Show More

Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170825

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market recovered from early losses to finish flat on continued commodity optimism. Shanghai index making a big move higher today….positive China sentiment. Base metals are on fire while Iron Ore and Oil continues to prove bears wrong. Copper leading the charge and we see MLX and MOD as the... Show More

Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170822

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market climbed back higher gradually on the back of strong metal prices. Local market still struck in the narrow trading range since May. US market and geopolitics remain the macro overhang while reporting season is driving substantial volatility. Growth stories missing guidance or weak outlook statement are facing 15-20%... Show More

Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170821

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market fell on global sentiment despite bounce in Iron Ore and Oil. US market heads the negative catalyst list. US market risk remains key for local market…(1) VIX looks to break above post election high (2) Russell 2000 (i.e. US domestic facing) has pulled back below 200 day MA... Show More

Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170818

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market recovered to finish a better than expected negative day after substantially weak lead from US market. Global markets were rattled by the terror attacks in Spain while US market was worried that Gary Cohn may follow the CEO walkout from US president’s leadership groups. Global economies are showing... Show More

Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170628

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market started positive and maintained the pace with better commodities and higher rates outlook. US market remains the overhang and NASDAQ falls to the 50 day MA for the third time since US elections…last time NASDAQ broke 100 day MA, we had the high PE growth sell off…local investors... Show More

Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170317

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market closed slightly positive while sentiment remains weak. Gold outlook continues to improve with rising macro risk and weakening USD. Can the underperforming fund managers miss the third cycle in 12mth? FOMO in gold coming!!! Globally central banks are all talking about better inflation and potential rate rise in... Show More

Sunset Strip > Trading Day Wrap From Blue Ocean 20170310

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Local market moved up despite weaker commodities and weaker AUDUSD while non-farm payroll data will set the tone for next week ahead of US Fed meeting. Consumer Staples, IT and Health Care moved the market higher while Metals, Mining, Gold and Property Trusts were the negative performers. Tesla is getting... Show More

Financial markets methadone

Livewire News
Livewire News Livewire

Bond-king Bill Gross labelled global central banks’ $12 Trillion balance sheets as ‘methadone’ for investors, as they continue to crave debt and low rates. Without it, he says the US economy would sink into recession. “A 2.45%, 10-year U.S. Treasury rests at 2.45% because the ECB and BOJ are buying... Show More

Federal Reserve bill gross bonds central banks us economy

Sunset Strip | Aussie Afternoon Institutional Market Wrap

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Market pulled back slightly as global sentiment remains weak after running ahead of the fundamentals. US Fed has set the path to end cheap debt while every other central bank is on hold indefinitely. The stronger the yields, the strong the USD, the more pressure on Emerging Markets to raise... Show More

Sunset Strip | Aussie Afternoon Institutional Market Wrap

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Market moved up again on global positive sentiment ahead of the US Fed update to be only 40 points off the 2016 high…but on accumulation (i.e. dividends included) basis we are at all-time highs (i.e. created a new high today). The positive performers today were led by Discretionary retail and... Show More

Sunset Strip | Aussie Afternoon Institutional Market Wrap

Mathan Somasundaram
Mathan Somasundaram Blue Ocean Equities

Market moved up and down like a headless chook before finishing negative on the risk that Chinese stimulus may wane after solid retail and factory data. We are seeing the early stages of friction between the corporatisation of the western fiscal policy rubbing against the authoritarian cohesion of the eastern... Show More