covid-19

In the latest episode of our Complexity Premia podcast, Ying Yi Ann Cheng and I discuss a range of issues, including: why the emergence of effective COVID-19...

In the AFR today I write that the next big pivot-point for markets in the months ahead will likely be the advent of vaccines. To read the full column click here or AFR...

In response to the global pandemic, we have altered our behaviour in innumerable ways. Enforced social distancing and isolation measures caused changes to our patterns...

Following on from our assessment a month ago about the likely path of a post COVID-19 recovery, we update the recent macro data and look at bond market options. ...

2020 has not been an easy year to manage so far, with COVID accelerating our longer term thinking − that many economies would have little choice but to continue to cut...

Since Magellan’s core strategy nearly doubled its cash weighting, stock prices have been on a tear as investors (plus those Robinhood punters) chased everything from...

One question we have been regularly asked is when will Victoria's second COVID-19 wave actually peak. We can use our existing COVID-19 forecasting systems to address...

Australia has been viewed as an outperformer in the global battle against Covid-19, and with justification. Australia’s death toll of 106 and currently just 10 people...

Through the pandemic, global fiscal support packages have gone a long way towards helping to offset the decline in corporate and household income. In the U.S., where...

The ASX200 fell roughly 10% in the financial year just finished, which included a terrifying 35% plunge and euphoric 30% rally in a 16-week period. This loss-making...

Global equities managed to shrug off mounting U.S. virus concerns last week and instead focus on better than expected ‘re-opening’ economic data. Of course, the Fed...

According to the latest unemployment statistics, over 300,000 Australians aged between 15-24 are now unemployed and over 280,000 dropped out of the labour force in...

In my previous post I highlighted screenshots from our real-time, global COVID-19 infection/fatality tracking-system that demonstrated that Victoria had never...

The continued rise in in U.S. COVID-19 cases further undermined risk sentiment last week – even though, as U.S. President Trump noted, increased testing appears an...

The COVID-19 data coming out of the US is grim and getting grimmer. My concern is that many investors have been pricing in an increasingly positive economic recovery,...

Our data scientists’ analysis of Victoria's COVID-19 infection trajectory has unearthed a disturbing finding: it would appear that since April our southern neighbour...

The US dollar’s steep decline from mid-May to early June has been arrested, but unfortunately its comeback has been mostly driven by bad news. Equities have...

Global equities tried hard to remain positive last week even as new CV-19 cases continued to emerge in Beijing and some U.S. states. After the previous Thursday’s...

Recent economic surveys paint a grim picture of business conditions, job ads and home lending. The question is: can the economy bounce back from the pummeling it took...

There is light at the end of the tunnel for a trans-Tasman bubble, but it is a long tunnel. Last week New Zealand reached a fantastic milestone in the fight against...