global interest rates

Our fundamental model of Australian swap spreads that we released in December 2021 started the new year well, predicting the early tightening of 10-year swap spreads...

A few weeks ago, I spoke to Bennelong Fund Management's Carl McMinn to discuss the changing market environment, what’s ahead for the sector, and how Quay is...

Rising inflation is one of the biggest challenges for investors today and it turns out that covid, climate change and the war on Ukraine have had driving roles in...

There are degrees of risk in equity markets – a long-established large-cap banking stock is (generally) less volatile than a micro-cap mining play – and there are...

A few weeks ago, it would have been fair to say that we were probably set for a number of interest rate increases this year. Fast forward to where we are now and a...

Whenever inflation or interest rates have risen over the last four decades, the multiple of earnings investors have been willing to pay for shares has declined. In...

Markets have had a rocky start to the year, with expensive growth stocks bearing the brunt of selling. Key to this has been an aggressive repricing of rate hike...

Why do we keep talking about the prospect of higher interest rates? What sort of analytical support can we offer to evidence such a proposition? It's an important...

A more consistent environment for global asset prices and investment is being forged by China’s more “normal” interest rate approach, while other central banks dither...

We talk a lot about US monetary policy, because they are an economic superpower, and what they do affects asset classes everywhere.We had jobless claims out overnight,...

The inflection points in financial markets look clearer in the charts than they feel in the heat of the moment. When it comes to monetary policy, the watersheds are...

QBE is currently trading at a 27% discount to the ASX200 on a 12-month forward basis, 16% below its 10-year average. Blake Hendricks from Firetrail outlines three...

The outlook over the next two years is not without risk. There will always be uncertainties in investing, from bouts of geo-political tension and financial hazards, to...

The financial year has ended and it’s a fitting time to take stock of what’s transpired and to also look ahead. Double-digit gains across many share markets featured...

The spike in inflation as the United States has emerged from its COVID-19 lockdowns has hardly come as a surprise. Its magnitude, however, has caused economists and...

If, in the first three months of the year, financial markets were digesting the enormous liquidity poured into the system, at another level they were also wrestling...

While all eyes are on the recent rise in yields, the debate has largely been centered around inflation expectations and how far the Fed will actually let inflation run...

Last Tuesday’s RBA interest rate cut and accompanying statement didn’t bode well for investors that rely on income producing assets such as bonds. Investors need to...

The last 30-40 years has seen a dramatic shift down in interest rates for much of the developed world. For example, the ten-year government bond yields in Australia...

In our view, despite the recent jawboning by Trump et al. in his administration that all is 'ok' with the US and its economy, last night’s rate cut was quite a...