interest rates

There's a famous saying that predictions are hard to make, especially about the future. For the closing session of Livewire Live 2019, we asked seven presenting fund...

Following on from the article we wrote in December 2018, 'Outlook 2019' (found here), we outlined four key themes for 2019. The US interest rate path, implications of...

The plunge in both short-term and long-term interest rates has sparked a debate about how other asset classes respond, including equities. In the wire below, I outline...

The Australian fixed income market has enjoyed strong gains over the last twelve months with the benchmark 10year government bond rallying 11.50% YTD and 19.85% over...

Are equities currently expensive and is now a good time to invest? We have been asked this question often by investors who are searching for a return above cash,...

Opinion has been extremely divided about the recent Fed rate cut. Some say it was necessary and prudent, others say it wasn't needed, and there are even those who say...

Global debt today is as high as it ever has been. Driven by loose monetary and fiscal policies, leverage is enormous and market dislocations numerous. We are in...

There’s an increasing frequency of articles I have read suggesting that low rates are now a permanent feature of markets, as is the likelihood of central banks...

One of the key principles of investing - diversification - works because different assets do well in different circumstances. Broadly speaking, shares go up when the...

On July 2nd the RBA followed up on its 0.25% cut to the cash rate in the June meeting with a further 0.25% cut, taking the cash rate to 1.00%. At both cash rate...

As investors welcome in the 119th Financial Year since Federation in January 1901, we take a snapshot at where things are at right now, with an eye on the past...

Over the past six months interest rate markets have seen extremely strong rallies globally, with the US 10-year yield falling by over 100 basis points since October...

While speculating on the future direction of interest rates, currencies, and monetary policy can generate great headlines, it often raises the question; ‘what does...

The world has witnessed ultra-easy conventional and unconventional monetary policy since the GFC, but three years ago it reached a point where that policy gradually...

People often ask us what investment style is Ophir Asset Management? We respond we are style agnostic, if we believe there is money to be made buying a company that is...

Understanding how the cycle is progressing has been especially difficult in the post-GFC years. The apparent impotence of monetary policy via its traditional credit...

Someone (maybe it was Albert Einstein) once opined that: “Insanity Is Doing the Same Thing Over and Over Again and Expecting Different Results” It is our view that...

U.S. consumer confidence is high, unemployment is well below historical averages, while supply constraints mean that plenty of jobs are now within reach for many...

January 1996. My wife was 8 months pregnant with our first child. I was a proprietary trader at Bankers Trust (had been since 1991), meaning I took macro views on...

Excess in the Australian housing market has been widely discussed by investors and commentators for a number of years. Underpinned by cheap money, house prices have...