9 stocks with double-digit upside, according to one of North America’s top banks

One ASX resources giant has earned a spot on this bank’s best-ideas list — thanks to its strong yield and leverage to a key commodity.
Vishal Teckchandani

Livewire Markets

Every quarter, Canadian investment bank BMO Capital Markets publishes a list of its highest-conviction stock ideas across the major sectors.

BMO - short for Bank of Montreal - may not be a household name in Australia, but it’s one of North America’s most respected lenders, wealth managers, and equity research firms.

In this wire, we’ve sifted through BMO’s latest Best of BMO list to surface 10 standout opportunities. The selections cover every major sector, with two picks in Resources given Australians’ natural affinity for commodities.

For the international names, we’ve used their U.S. listings for consistency and accessibility, even though some are based on the TSX.

1. MATERIALS - Rio Tinto (LSE: RIO/ASX: RIO)

Rio Tinto is one of the world’s largest diversified mining companies, producing iron ore, aluminium, copper, bauxite, titanium dioxide and borates, and is ramping up its major Oyu Tolgoi copper mine.

“Rio Tinto is our top pick amongst the diversified miners, offering an attractive mix of near-term cash-generative and future-facing commodities," the bank says.

BMO expects returns of around 11% over the next year, with upside approaching 33% if iron ore prices rise 10%. Downside risks include slowing demand for its key commodities and an escalation of trade tensions.

  • 2026 estimated P/E = 9..1x
  • 2026 estimated dividend yield = 5.4%
Rio Tinto one-year chart (Source: Market Index)
Rio Tinto one-year chart (Source: Market Index)

2. Materials - cameco (tsx: cco/NYSE: CCJ)

Cameco is one of the world’s largest and most liquid uranium producers, offering exposure to low-risk Canadian production, its low-cost Inkai JV in Kazakhstan, and a 49% stake in Westinghouse, which expands its leverage to the entire nuclear fuel cycle.

" As sentiment behind nuclear power grows, and its realised prices improve, Cameco is well placed to deliver attractive EBITDA growth at ~40% from 2024 to 2026E," BMO says.

BMO sees Cameco delivering ~29% over the next year, with a bull-case return approaching 53% if uranium prices rise 10% and multiples expand on improved nuclear sentiment. However, excess inventories in the uranium market could continue to limit upside to the uranium price near-term.

  • 2026 estimated P/E = N/A
  • 2026 estimated dividend yield = 0.2%
  • Cameco's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    Cameco's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)

    3. ENERGY - Suncor Energy (TSX: SU/NYSE: SU)

    Suncor is Canada’s largest integrated oil and gas company, combining oil-sands production with four refineries across Canada and the U.S.

    “We anticipate further upside for the shares if the company can continue to lower costs and improve throughput, which should allow accelerated shareholder returns," the report says.

    BMO sees potential returns of ~14% over the next year, with upside toward ~30% if operational improvements continue and oil prices strengthen. But volatile commodity prices may have a negative impact on cash flow and economic returns.

    • 2026 estimated P/E = 14.2
    • Current yield = 3.8%
    Suncor's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    Suncor's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)

    4. INDUSTRIALS - GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV)

    Spun out of GE in 2024, GE Vernova supplies gas turbines, grid equipment and wind technology, with its installed base generating ~30% of the world’s electricity.

    “GEV offers investors unrivalled exposure to rapidly growing global power demand driven by AI, with a step change in margins across gas turbines and grid equipment," BMO says.

    BMO forecasts ~19% returns over the next year, with further upside if power-equipment orders and margins exceed expectations. The company is subject to risks including slowing demand, permit delays, quality issues and poor execution.

  • 2026 estimated P/E = 42.2x
  • Current yield = 0.2x
  • GE Vernova's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    GE Vernova's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)

    5. CONSUMER STAPLES: Costco Wholesale (NASDAQ: COST)

    Costco operates 914 warehouses globally and remains one of the world’s strongest membership-based retail models. The company's shares have fallen back >20% since early 2025, partially due to slightly weaker renewal rates.

    "We expect this could continue for a few more quarters as Costco cycles out lower-renewal rates from COVID-era online sign-ups, but believe this is creating a compelling buying opportunity for this best-in-class retailer/wholesale club," the bank says.

    BMO expects Costco shares to rise roughly 29% over the next 12 months, with potential upside of up to ~42% if market-share gains accelerate or a membership-fee increase drives EBIT growth in line with past cycles. Risks include weak demand for its products due to factors including inflation and economic uncertainty.

  • 2026 estimated P/E = 46.9
  • Current yield = 0.6%
  • Costco's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    Costco's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)

    6. FINANCIALS: Royal Bank of Canada (TSX/NYSE: RY)

    Royal Bank is Canada’s largest bank and a global systemically important bank, with market-leading retail banking, wealth management and capital markets franchises.

    “Royal Bank’s peer-leading profitability, diversification and durable earnings profile support a premium valuation multiple while also providing downside protection," BMO says.

    BMO expects returns of roughly 15% over the next 12 months, with a bull-case scenario approaching 30% if margins expand and credit conditions remain benign. Like any major bank, Royal is exposed to risks tied to capital-markets volatility, interest-rate shifts, and changes in loan demand.

  • 2026 estimated P/E = 14.2
  • Current yield = 2.8%
  • RBC's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    RBC's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)

    7. TECHNOLOGY - Celestica (TSX/NYSE: CLS)

    Celestica manufactures AI servers, switches and custom hardware for hyperscalers, including Google, OpenAI and other major cloud providers.

    “AI infrastructure spending should remain robust for years, and CLS’s growth durability isn’t adequately priced into the stock," the report says.

    BMO expects mid-single-digit returns but sees as much as 25% upside if hyperscaler demand remains strong or CLS wins additional AI hardware programs. BMO notes most of CLS’s revenue stems from its top-ten customers, posing revenue concentration risks.

    • 2026 estimated P/E = 39.4x
    • Current yield = 0%
    Celestica's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    Celestica's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)

    8. HEALTHCARE - Disc Medicine (NASDAQ: DISC)

    Disc develops treatments for blood disorders focused on heme biosynthesis and iron metabolism, with its lead drug bitopertin nearing its first FDA decision.

    “Disc is positioned to receive its first FDA approval for its investigational asset, bitopertin, in EPP/XLP patients. While most investor attention has been fixated on bitopertin’s near-term revenue opportunity, we believe upside from the company’s hepcidin portfolio remains undervalued," BMO says.

    Going forward into 2026, the bank adds that it expects Disc to be able to quickly commercialise bitopertin while expanding its hepcidin portfolio with updates for both ‘0974 and ‘3405.

    BMO expects returns of ~29% in the base case, with upside approaching 50% if clinical data outperform. Key risks including gaining regulatory approvals, commercial execution and manufacturing.

    • 2026 estimated P/E = N/A
    • Current yield = 0%
    Disc's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    Disc's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)

    9. REAL ESTATE - Digital Realty Trust (NYSE: DLR)

    Digital Realty is one of the world’s largest data-centre operators, serving hyperscale and colocation tenants across the U.S., Europe and Asia.

    “DLR is benefiting from elevated leasing levels driven by robust hyperscale demand and record-low industry vacancy rates," the bank says.

    BMO expects ~25% returns over the next year, with upside around 40% if pricing, bookings and leasing run ahead of expectations. Risks include slowing AI-related demand, higher interest rates, competition and tenant bankruptcy.

    • 2026 estimated P/FFO (price to funds from operations) = 20.2x
    • Current yield = 3%
    Digital Reality Trust's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    Digital Reality Trust's U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)

    10. UTILITIES - Black Hills (NYSE: BKH)

    Black Hills is a regulated U.S. electricity and gas utility serving 1.35 million customers across eight states, with rising data-centre-related demand.

    “BKH is on the precipice of a material inflection point in its EPS trajectory, supported by its capital-light Wyoming tariff and a 2.5GW+ data-centre backlog," it says.

    BMO expects modest near-term returns (~3%), with a longer-term earnings growth profile that could outperform the broader U.S. utilities sector. BKH's regulated profile exposes the company to numerous risks including business, regulatory, environmental and capital markets risks.

    • 2026 estimated P/E = 17x
    • 2026 estimated yield = 3.8%
    Black Hills' U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    Black Hills' U.S-listed shares, one-year chart (Source: TradingView)
    ........
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    Vishal Teckchandani
    Lead Investment Writer & Presenter
    Livewire Markets

    I have over 15 years’ experience covering financial markets and property, with a particular interest in ETFs and personal finance. I split my time between Australia and Canada to bring a global perspective to my work.

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