A parma, a pint, and a profit
A specialised property category that has traditionally been lucrative for Phoenix Portfolios is pub properties. Australians love going to the pub, and it is estimated that there are approximately 9,500 licensed venues across the nation, representing a market size of more than $15 billion.
Pubs are an often misunderstood, niche investment. The properties have often been housed in unique structures with unusual dynamics, but provide interesting investment opportunities for those willing to take the time to understand their intricacies. In many cases, pubs are some of the safest investments, with extremely secure income streams.
Real old school
A refreshing ALE
LEP made history when it was spun off from Fosters Group in 2003. It became Australia’s first pub rental securitisation and the nation’s first listed pub trust. One of the unique characteristics of the LEP portfolio was the presence of an uncapped market rent review for the properties in 2028. Due to the outperformance of the ALH operating business and long- term nature of the leases, the portfolio was rented significantly below market levels. In 2021, LEP suggested under renting was 35.6% - a figure which may have understated the true amount.
LEP had also been curating their portfolio of assets, selling those that happen to be over-rented at significant premiums to book values. Due to the nature of the portfolio, Phoenix considered its cash flows to be amongst some of the lowest risk in the sector, with significant upside over the longer term, due to its significant under renting and the goodwill value of the operating businesses.
That proved to be the view of at least one other market participant, with funds managed by Charter Hall Group (ASX: CHC), including Charter Hall Long WALE REIT (ASX: CLW), announcing a proposal to acquire LEP in September 2021. The proposal included consideration in the form of both cash and CLW securities and represented a 25.2% premium to the prior day’s closing price. The proposal was approved by security holders and Phoenix successfully exited its investment in LEP.
A hero in a red cape: Redcape
RDC was externally managed by MA Financial Group and began life as an unlisted fund, which subsequently listed on the Australian Stock Exchange, with a mandate to grow quickly by acquiring more pubs.
RDC traded at a consistent discount to its director’s net asset value (NAV), frustrating its external manager. To combat this, in August 2021, RDC announced a somewhat complex transaction in which RDC shareholders could choose to redeem their investment for $1.15 per share, or remain invested in an unlisted fund with quarterly liquidity windows, presenting an opportunity to redeem at a pre-set (and reducing) discount to director’s NAV. As an indication, RDC traded at less than $1.00 per share prior to the transaction’s announcement, compared to the director’s NAV of $1.31 per share.
Phoenix Portfolios believed that at the time of the announcement the NAV was conservative and redeeming RDC units with reference to a future NAV represented an attractive investment opportunity. Furthermore, given the operating business and commitment to pay out earnings quarterly, there would be a strong running yield generated by holding the unlisted investment. A position was established.
The actual results surpassed expectations. Phoenix redeemed its investment on 30 June 2022 at a unit price of $1.5277. After becoming an unlisted fund in November 2021, the portfolio also received 6.55 cents in distributions from RDC. The portfolio’s cost base for RDC was approximately $1.12 per unit, meaning the investment returned a total of a just over 42% during its short holding period, representing an internal rate of return (IRR) of 61%. During this period, the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index returned -15.8%. This was truly a fantastic outcome for investors.
How about today?
AVC traces its origins to Coles' (ASX: COL) past ownership. HPI’s large exposure to Queensland is no mistake. Under Queensland law, to apply for a detached bottle shop license, the licensee must operate a “commercial hotel” (in common language, a pub), within 10 kilometres of the proposed bottle shop. As Coles desired to operate bottle shops in Queensland it also needed to be a pub operator, hence its ownership of AVC. Under a complex transaction, KKR took ownership of AVC in a manner that allowed Coles to continue operating its bottle shops. Under KKR’s ownership, AVC has grown rapidly and produced fantastic financial results.
At the start of the quarter, HPI traded at $2.93 per share, or a 30% discount to its net tangible asset value. HPI has also periodically engaged small-scale sales of some properties at premiums to book value. In late November and early December, entities associated with Tony Pitt’s 360 Capital Group purchased a 13.81% stake in HPI at prices as high as $3.67 per share. Those familiar with Tony Pitt’s history know that corporate activity in some way is likely to follow. HPI was the second-best performing security in the REIT index over the quarter (only behind URW) rising 24.6%, and closing at $3.56 per share. How any potential corporate activity will play out remains to be seen.
Finding a Niche
If others are unwilling to look into these unique situations, the reward can often be better for those committed to put the time and effort in to find potentially misunderstood opportunities.Clearly over time, the pub sector has represented one such opportunity and in recent times has provided some very good outcomes for investors. This is representative of only a part of the unique opportunities that are looked at. With more uncertainty than ever in “core” property asset classes, being willing to look far and wide will hopefully be a continued advantage for those invested in this portfolio.
About Phoenix Portfolios
Phoenix Portfolios Ltd (Phoenix) is a boutique equity investment manager which has built a strong track record across a variety of A-REIT mandates, property securities funds and microcap securities, culminating in numerous industry awards.
Phoenix Portfolios is jointly owned by staff and an entity within ASX-listed Cromwell Property Group (Cromwell). Joint ownership with staff promotes long-term stability and a strong alignment of interest between employees and investors. Cromwell is an active participant in direct property markets and provides valuable insights into the Phoenix research process. Click here to learn more about our products.
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1 fund mentioned
Stuart Cartledge is the Managing Director of Phoenix Portfolios and the portfolio manager for each of the company’s property portfolios / funds. Prior to establishing the business in 2006, Stuart had built a very strong track record in the listed...
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