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BCA - Strategy outlook Q4 2015

Livewire News


Our Global Investment Strategy service recently published their Strategy Outlook for Q4 2015. The quarterly report highlights the following key points: • Tactically, investors should maintain a cautious stance on risk assets for now. The turmoil in emerging markets is not yet over. A weaker yuan will add to the fire. • As one looks toward 2016, the effects of China’s fiscal and monetary stimulus should begin to feed through to the global economy, giving EM and cyclical stocks a boost. • Despite stronger global growth next year, deflationary pressures will persist. Treasury yields could fall, even if U.S. growth does not falter. • The dollar will remain broadly range-bound against the euro and the yen. The greenback has more upside against sterling, and in the near term, against EM and commodity currencies. • Investors should underweight U.S. stocks relative to Japanese and euro area equities. Over the long haul, owning Chinese H-shares is our single best trade idea. BCA clients can access the full research (VIEW LINK)

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