I agree with the IMF
I agree with the IMF that the US Fed needs to delay the tightening cycle as the rising US dollar over the past six months has been equivalent to a 0.75% rise in the US Fed Funds rate and the recent subdued US growth data has shown that the currency appreciation has already impacted the real economy, and that financial conditions do not need to be tightened any more. One certainly doesn’t get the impression that the recent market volatility is close to ending, but the US Fed can stabilise things by stating that it does not plan to move rates higher in coming months. That would prevent an unnecessary and early tightening of US financial conditions and potentially lessen financial instability and one could go as far as saying that the financial markets have as large a say in US monetary policy decisions now as the FOMC. (VIEW LINK)
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