interest rates

Latest news and analysis on interest rates

Education

Why “faster and deeper” rate cuts likely wouldn’t lift shares

Bulls claim they would, but history contradicts them: when valuations are extended, sharply lower rates crush rather than boost stocks.
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
Macro

The search for new central bank leadership

Trump’s push for a dovish Fed and the RBNZ’s need for a Governor provide insight into both central bank independence and economic impacts.
WGB
Catriona Burns
Wilson Asset Management
Macro

The end of the COVID-era migration boom

The massive migration-led boom in population growth is over, with growth back at pre-pandemic levels in most countries, including Australia
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The tail risk of a spike in oil prices

If the tail risk of a spike in oil prices is realised, history shows oil shocks often contribute to deeper-than-normal recessions.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Property

How Trump’s about-face on tariffs means fewer RBA rate cuts ahead

Shares are up, but expectations for rate cuts are down. How Trump’s about-face on tariffs just slashed RBA rate cut probabilities.
BHP
+8
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

Ninety-nine red flags

Markets underestimated the disruptiveness of Donald Trump’s administration.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Equities

Four risks that investors should watch in 2025

Global equities have just delivered a second year of stellar gains, but a range of investment risks may bring more volatile share markets in 2025. However, there are...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Property

2025 interest rate outlook: Good and bad news for ASX investors and mortgage holders

Latest market pricing suggests interest rates could fall quickly at the start of 2025, but the outlook from there is far murkier…
+5
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

ECB cuts rates in move to a dovish tilt

Markets are expecting a further run of consecutive rate cuts over the coming few quarters.
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Long-term returns: Is Trump a threat to equity dominance?

Since the global financial crisis, growth equities have been the overall best performing asset class.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Property

How much, and when the RBA will cut interest rates in 2025

Yesterday’s RBA meeting showed a marked dovish tilt in language, causing markets to reel in expectations for the first interest rate cut.
BHP
+4
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

The companies and sectors poised to surge under Trump

Trump's presidency is driving transformative trends, creating lucrative opportunities for key industries and forward-thinking investors.
+3
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
Buy Hold Sell

Buy Hold Sell: 5 interest rate sensitive stocks for a new world of lower rates

In this episode, Antipodes' Jacob Mitchell and Magellan's Arvid Streimann analyse five stocks that could benefit from lower rates.
+9
Buy Hold Sell
Livewire Markets
Macro

Forget the market noise: Focus on value and the long-term

Sometimes it seems the economics profession operates in a parallel universe.
Chris Iggo
AXA Investment Managers
Fixed Income

The next few months are going to be painful for Australians. Here's how you can invest your way out of it

Real Asset Management's Michael Frearson argues that we'll see the full impact of rate hikes in coming months. Here's how he's investing.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Education

Why understanding this little-known theory can help you make better investing decisions

Investors have become afraid of losing money. These are thorns. But you should look for the 'roses' because loss aversion can be overcome.
Arian Neiron
VanEck
Asset Allocation

Why you can't wait for rate cuts to start investing in REITs

After a slew of favourable economic data points, global central banks appear to be at the beginning of an interest rate easing cycle.
Chris Bedingfield
Quay Global Investors
Macro

Dark clouds ahead: The rising risk of a US recession

Based on recent developments, we believe the likelihood of a recession occurring within the next 9 to 12 months is more likely than not.
Xinyu Ru
Fawkes Capital Management
Macro

What caused stocks to crash, what’s next for markets, and how to defend your portfolio

Just the facts on what’s happening in global financial markets and what you can do about it.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

Forget RBA hikes! Market now pricing 3 interest rate cuts by Christmas 2025

Better than expected June CPI inflation data has flipped market pricing for Australian interest rates over the next 18 months on its head.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
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