Microcap masterclass: Yarra's Joel Fleming on making the most of the small end of town
Please note this interview was filmed on Tuesday 3 February 2026.
One of last year's unsung success stories on the ASX unfolded outside the top tier. The S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index delivered a total return of 24.96% in 2025, almost 2.5 times the ASX 200's total return.
After years of underperformance, the sector is bouncing back as cyclical tailwinds align, says Yarra Capital Management's Joel Fleming, portfolio manager of the UBS Microcap Fund.
"You've got to remember the years leading up to [2025] were pretty tough," he said. "You really had to pick some very, very good stocks to perform well. You had liquidity flowing out of the sector, you had interest rates going up."
Now, after 2025's strong showing, the stage has been set for a prolonged rally across the local microcap sector, says Fleming.
"Liquidity is starting to come back down," he says. "People are prepared to look a little bit further down to drive some of those gains. Valuations look pretty interesting at the moment. You've got really good growth profiles in a lot of cases, and you've got valuations that don't look utterly ridiculous when compared to that forward growth profile."
Against a decent economic backdrop, Fleming expects what has been a fairly narrow rally (driven mostly by miners) to broaden out, presenting investors with the "opportunity to find great companies that could be bigger in the future. There's a lot of choice and a lot of optionality for us. And that gives us a lot of confidence."
I recently sat down with Joel to get his expert take on the outlook for Australian microcaps, why it's such a compelling opportunity for investors and how Yarra is finding tomorrow's winners.
In the interview, Fleming explains why the microcap rally is picking up steam, what happens when their companies graduate from microcap to megacap, and why a market selloff can be a great thing for microcap investors.
It's a comprehensive how-to on an often-overlooked part of the market from one of its leading authorities (and with the track record to prove it). For all the insights, make sure to watch the full video above.
On the unique attraction of microcaps
The fundamental opportunity in the microcap space can be summed up in one word: inefficiency.
As one of the market's few dedicated microcap specialists, Fleming says his team's edge is in finding tomorrow's market darlings before they're even on the radar of other investors.
"There's a whole heap of companies out there that people really don't take notice of until they start to move," he says. "If you can bring a disciplined and focused investment process to these companies, that's a competitive advantage, because there aren't a hundred other fund managers in there trying to find the same idea."
"We are fishing in a really big pond, but there aren't many people doing the same thing."
Given where many microcaps find themselves in the business cycle, proactive investors like Yarra can get genuine access to companies and identify inefficiencies in valuations early.
"We can touch and feel it. We can get on a plane and within five hours and meet with any company that we're invested in."
"[As investors], you can go in and try and really understand: what's happening in this industry, how are you positioned and what does the path look like here for you to actually take advantage of something that looks really, really exciting?"
"It's the road less travelled. We do a lot of our own work. We can't lean on consensus information, but that's our competitive advantage because we can identify these companies and say, 'I think that this can really take advantage of a thematic out there that we have a great level of confidence in.'"
On finding the right companies
One of the challenges of the microcap space is applying the right lens when assessing a company's prospects, says Fleming.
"Every fund manager has a good story to tell, every company has a good story to tell. How do we go and validate what they are telling us?"
While there are some similarities to how a large-cap manager may approach prospective stocks, for Fleming, it's about finding sustainable, long-term growth stories.
"We are looking for companies - it's a stereotype - but run by high-quality, aligned people," he says. "Something that I'm always focused on is it's not about the next five seconds, but whether they're building something that's going to be sustainable, not trying to run the business too hard at the cost of the longer term, and trying to build something that can go on to become a really, really good company."
That means looking at "everything", says Fleming, but especially metrics like cashflow and balance sheet strength. "If you don't have that or a level of confidence in [those metrics], then how are you going to be able to progress your strategy?"
Finding the companies that meet that profile can then pave the way for outsized growth in future.
"If you look a little bit further out as those businesses build that scale, hit those inflexion points, you get those step change in earnings. So instead of the 10-, 8-, to 6 EPS growth profile that people like to look at, this might be 4, 8, 25. And that's what makes a big difference."
It's also about finding the companies well-positioned to benefit from any emergent thematics or megatrends, but being agile enough to respond as those narratives evolve.
"We want to stay away from concepts," says Fleming. "We don't mind being early if we have a level of confidence that [aspirations are] achievable, but we don't want to be invested in themes which can change very, very rapidly."
One example he points to is the ongoing data centre buildout. "In a perfect world, we're looking for structural growth," said Fleming. "If we look at data centres 10 years ago, we invested in NextDC because we could see what was happening more broadly in the data centre space."
"But today, the companies that are helping to build and electrify these facilities [have great runways]. We look at how data centres are powered, what that means for water use [and associated opportunities]. There are a lot of industries that spin off a thematic where that's actually the best way to make money."
Where he's looking now
"Precious metals has been a real driver of what's happening out there," says Fleming, "but there are a lot of industrial companies out there that are starting to really drive that earnings growth and reach that inflexion point of scalability."
The picks and shovels plays across the mining, infrastructure and industrials thematics are presenting investors with good opportunities, he says.
"There's going to be lots of ways to make money on these demand tailwinds. And then it's finding the company that is trading reasonably today and can actually go and get the job done and take advantage of [those tailwinds]"
Elsewhere, unloved sectors like healthcare could also throw up interesting opportunities, as could companies that could prove good candidates for M&A.
Ultimately, Fleming says, it's about finding those companies that can prove their worth over the long-term and reward early conviction.
"We want them to be those compounding stocks that you comfortably hold in the portfolio and every single year they deliver for you."
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