The asset class at the intersection of the economy's most powerful forces

From AI to population growth, five structural forces are reshaping industrial property and driving long-term demand.
Chris Conway

Livewire Markets

For much of the commercial property market, such as office, the last three years have been pretty brutal. Rising interest rates are the primary culprit, although particular segments have faced their own challenges - like work from home. Yet industrial assets have continued to defy expectations.

Vacancy rates remain low, rents have continued to climb, and investor demand has proven remarkably resilient. According to Laurence Parisi of Trilogy Funds, that's because the sector is benefiting from a series of structural forces that extend well beyond the property market itself.

From population growth and AI to supply chain resilience and the search for dependable income, industrial property increasingly sits at the intersection of some of the economy's most powerful long-term trends.
Trilogy Funds' 
Trilogy Funds' Laurence Parisi 

Industrial property sits at the centre of the modern economy

Industrial property has evolved well beyond the traditional image of warehouses on the outskirts of major cities.

"Industrial property sits at the centre of how goods move through the economy," Parisi says.

Demand continues to be supported by structural drivers that include population growth, the ongoing expansion of e-commerce, and the reshaping of global supply chains.

Australia's growing population naturally requires more goods to be imported, stored and distributed. At the same time, online retail continues to lift demand for well-located logistics facilities that can service increasingly demanding delivery expectations.

The sector has also benefited from historically low vacancy rates, allowing landlords to capture strong rental growth even as financing costs have increased.

While higher interest rates have weighed on property valuations more broadly, resilient leasing conditions have provided an important offset for industrial assets.

AI isn't just a technology story

Artificial intelligence has become one of the defining investment themes of the decade, but Parisi believes many investors are overlooking the physical infrastructure required to support it.

"AI requires physical assets including data centres, power infrastructure and logistics networks," he says.
"It's not just a technology story, it's also a real assets story."

Every AI application ultimately relies on enormous computing capacity, requiring purpose-built data centres, reliable electricity networks and increasingly sophisticated logistics infrastructure.

As governments and private capital race to expand AI capability, demand for these supporting assets is likely to accelerate. While much of the market has focused on semiconductor manufacturers and software companies, industrial property stands to benefit from the enormous physical investment required to power the AI economy.

For investors, it highlights how some of the strongest beneficiaries of technological disruption may sit outside the technology sector altogether.

Supply chains continue to evolve

The pandemic exposed the vulnerabilities of highly efficient global supply chains, prompting businesses to rethink how they manage inventory. Parisi believes the move towards greater resilience remains firmly in place.

"Businesses are prioritising resilience alongside efficiency," he says.

Rather than chasing the lowest possible inventory levels (a just-in-time approach), many businesses are maintaining additional stock as insurance against future disruptions (a just-in-case approach). The result is continued demand for warehouse space, even if the pace of change has moderated since the immediate post-pandemic period.

"It's evolving rather than accelerating," Parisi says.

Ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, shipping disruptions and changing trade relationships continue to reinforce the importance of secure domestic logistics networks. For industrial landlords, that provides an additional structural tailwind supporting occupancy levels and rental growth.

Population growth underpins the long-term outlook

While AI may dominate today's headlines, Parisi believes population growth remains the single most important driver for industrial property over the coming decade.

"More people means greater demand for goods, services and logistics infrastructure," he says.

Every additional household creates demand across retail, manufacturing, transport and distribution. Regardless of economic cycles, those goods still need to be stored and delivered.

That gives industrial property an advantage over sectors more exposed to changing consumer preferences or discretionary spending.

Population growth also compounds over time, creating an enduring source of demand that can support both rental growth and asset values over the long term.

Income is becoming increasingly valuable

With investors continuing to search for reliable sources of income, industrial property is attracting renewed attention.

Parisi notes that the asset class has always appealed to income-focused investors because of its combination of secure cash flow, quality tenants and long lease structures.

"Investors value secure cash flow, rental growth and tenant quality," he says.

Those characteristics become particularly valuable during periods of economic uncertainty, when dependable income often commands a premium.

Furthermore, if future Federal Budgets echo the recent one, and further reduce some of the tax advantages currently enjoyed by residential property investors, Parisi believes some capital will continue to migrate towards commercial assets where the investment case is increasingly centred on sustainable income generation rather than capital gains alone.

Quality matters more than ever

Not every industrial property will benefit equally from these structural tailwinds. According to Parisi, location remains fundamental, but tenant requirements have become considerably more sophisticated.

"Modern functionality, power supply and operational efficiency matter more than ever," he says.

Businesses increasingly require facilities capable of supporting automation, advanced logistics systems and growing electricity demands. Access to transport networks, labour markets and reliable power infrastructure are becoming increasingly important competitive advantages.

Supply also remains constrained in many markets.

While new developments continue, planning restrictions and limited availability of well-located industrial land mean quality assets remain difficult to replicate.

"The best assets are business-critical infrastructure for tenants, not just warehouses," Parisi says.

That distinction may become increasingly important as technology reshapes the way businesses operate. Industrial property is no longer simply about storing goods. Increasingly, it provides the infrastructure that keeps Australia's economy moving.

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This article is issued by Trilogy Funds Management Limited ABN 59 080 383 679 AFSL 261425 (Trilogy Funds) and does not take into account your objectives, personal circumstances or needs, nor is it an offer of securities. Investments in Trilogy Funds’ products are only available through the relevant Product Disclosure Statement (PDS). The PDS and the Target Market Determination (TMD) issued by Trilogy Funds are available at www.trilogyfunds.com.au. All investments, including those with Trilogy Funds, involve risk which can lead to no or lower than expected returns, or a loss of part or all of your capital. See PDS and TMD for details. Investments with Trilogy Funds are not bank deposits and are not government guaranteed. Past performance is no indicator of future performance. Livewire gives readers access to information and educational content provided by financial services professionals and companies ("Livewire Contributors"). Livewire does not operate under an Australian financial services licence and relies on the exemption available under section 911A(2)(eb) of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) in respect of any advice given. Any advice on this site is general in nature and does not take into consideration your objectives, financial situation or needs. Before making a decision, please consider these and any relevant Product Disclosure Statement. Livewire has commercial relationships with some Livewire Contributors.

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Chris Conway
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