Trending On Livewire: Weekend Edition - Saturday 7th June

Markets keep rallying as Nvidia posts blowout results and investors debate if the growth run continues
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Livewire Markets

That was a bizarre week in markets. As my colleague Carl Capolingua wrote, the S&P / ASX 200 Total Return Index (XAOA) hit an all-time high. For the uninitiated, the XOAO measures performance on a total return basis, adding back in all the dividends paid along the way. It’s an impressive feat, particularly given the volatility in markets over the last four months.

The other, more bizarre event occurred on Thursday night/Friday morning our time, with Tesla shares slumping 14% after the world’s most unstable bromance – between Trump and Musk – inevitably disintegrated. The fallout threatens federal subsidies critical to the EV maker’s growth. Markets are not supposed to operate like this, and investors should not be at the mercy of a personal spat between two people who should know better.

The whole saga is a microcosm of a broader theme in markets right now, which sees sentiment and tweets driving market moves, as opposed to fundamentals and hard data, as encapsulated by Tom Stelzer in this wire.

In any event, we are where we are. The bulls are clinging to progress on trade talks, particularly between the US and China, expectations of rates cuts, and retail enthusiasm for buying the dip. The bears? Well, they are looking at the bulls and wondering why they keep buying amid so much uncertainty.

Have a great weekend.

Chris Conway, Managing Editor, Livewire Markets


Jake Klein: The West is ill-prepared for what lies ahead and the gold price reflects this

Jake Klein left a high-flying banking career to chase a hunch about gold, and it paid off in spades. From pioneering mining ventures in China to building Evolution Mining into a $16 billion powerhouse, Klein has made a habit of spotting value where others see risk. In this episode of Success and More Interesting Stuff, he shares how growing up in South Africa shaped his thinking, why Western democracies are unprepared for what’s coming, and what the gold price is really telling us.

LISTEN | READ


Vimal Gor on the future of bonds, currencies, and why he thinks shares can rally

Ellerston Capital’s fixed-income and multi-asset strategist Vimal Gor says the radical Trump presidency means the US Federal Reserve will be forced to return to quantitative easing later this year to cap bond yields and offset the nation’s fiscal problems.

In this podcast, Gor also details why he thinks this means shares, gold and bitcoin can rally later this year. He also argues why he thinks the Aussie dollar will jump versus the greenback on the back of radical shifts in markets that may be set to accelerate and impact every investor.

LISTEN | READ


Top 3 Wires this Week

Here are the weeks top viewed or liked wires by our subscribers:

Some of the best wires from our Contributors this week

Source: Refinitiv, IBES, Morgan Stanley Research. Data as at May 23, 2025

Source: Refinitiv, IBES, Morgan Stanley Research. Data as at May 23, 2025

Australian equities are hitting record highs — yet earnings forecasts, since 2023, are heading in the opposite direction. As this chart shows, consensus EPS estimates for the S&P/ASX 200 for FY24 through FY27 have been trending lower. Based on FY25 EPS, the ASX 200 is currently trading at an eyewatering PE of 19.9x. Despite falling estimates, earnings are still forecast to bounce 5.5% year-on-year in FY26, largely driven by resources. Even then, the market is still trading at a one-year forward PE of 18.6x. Is this rally grounded in something real… or just floating on hope? Only time will tell.

Vishal Teckchandani, Senior Editor, Livewire Markets


Weekly Poll

We’re struggling to make sense of this rally. Can you?

a) Yes, the trade wars will pass, and all will be fine
b) No, the fundamentals don’t stack up, we’re due for a pullback
c) It’s just passive money pushing everything higher
d) Not even AI could explain this one!

VOTE NOW


LAST WEEKS POLL RESULTS

We asked "NVIDIA just posted blockbuster earnings — and traders are betting it could break $200 in the next 12 months. With AI still fueling growth, how are you positioning your portfolio in tech?"

The poll shows 27% were doubling down, 27% were staying out due to high valuations, and another 27% were watching from the sidelines.

SEE RESULTS BREAKDOWN


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