Yellow-Bellied Fiscal and Monetary Policy

Christopher Joye

Coolabah Capital

In The AFR I assess the budget: "Since we fell into the red in 2009, the shortfall between what the government earns and spends has risen to an amazing 21.5 per cent of gross domestic product. Assuming there is zero economic adversity between now and 2020, Treasury projects the cumulative losses will expand to 24 per cent of GDP. The deficits incurred during the horrific 1991 recession - when the jobless rate hit 11 per cent - were 28 per cent less as a share of GDP. If you thought an unprecedented post-war streak of 11 years of consecutive deficits would stiffen politicians' resolve to reform, you'd be mistaken: the budget's underlying cash balance has actually deteriorated from -1.2 per cent of GDP in 2013 to -2.4 per cent in 2016. The Turnbull government boasts of "improving the bottom line by $1.7 billion over the four years to 2020". We're facing a fiscal crisis and they've trimmed $86.3 billion in losses by merely 2 per cent? These blokes would not get jobs as accountants for Alan Bond." Free (VIEW LINK)


Christopher Joye
Portfolio Manager & Chief Investment Officer
Coolabah Capital

Chris co-founded Coolabah in 2011, which today runs over $8 billion with a team of 40 executives focussed on generating credit alpha from mispricings across fixed-income markets. In 2019, Chris was selected as one of FE fundinfo’s Top 10 “Alpha...

I would like to

Only to be used for sending genuine email enquiries to the Contributor. Livewire Markets Pty Ltd reserves its right to take any legal or other appropriate action in relation to misuse of this service.

Personal Information Collection Statement
Your personal information will be passed to the Contributor and/or its authorised service provider to assist the Contributor to contact you about your investment enquiry. They are required not to use your information for any other purpose. Our privacy policy explains how we store personal information and how you may access, correct or complain about the handling of personal information.

Comments

Sign In or Join Free to comment