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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

A recession dashboard, Fed peaks and Asian commercial property

This edition of Charts of the Week considers our position at the likely peak of the rate cycle.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

German flash manufacturing PMI rose to 45.4, US advance GDP slumped to 3.5% q/q

Weekly Update | 26th January, 2024
FMG
GMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Greedy investors, fiscal deficits and the Red Sea crisis for shipping

This edition of Charts of the Week begins with a 96-year breakdown of different stock regimes and then turns to crises in the news.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Two big forecasts for 2024 – private credit rising and small caps catching up

As we kick off another year of investing, I thought I would offer a couple of predictions.
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

UK claimant count change rose to 11.8k, Chinese industrial production grew 6.8% y/y

Weekly Update | 19th January, 2024
S32
SCG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

The Australian Dollar is weighed up as RBA’s pivot may be slower than Fed’s

But history says the currency is biased downwards after the RBA cuts, yet with PPP undervaluation.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

4D Infrastructure on the road: Key insights from our latest research trip

The share price performance of all US infrastructure sub-sectors, excluding midstream oil/gas, was disappointing over the course of 2023. This was possibly spurred by...
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Sarah Shaw
4D Infrastructure
Macro

Bull market or bull trap?

Stock markets cheered when the Fed paused their rate hikes. Is this the start of a bull market or a bull trap?
Jason Teh
Vertium Asset Management
Macro

Global market's compound strength

“Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, than lost in the corrections themselves.” - Peter Lynch
Michael Skinner
Blackwattle Investment Partners
Macro

The Federal Reserve will cut rates 4 times before August 2024

2024 is the year of the rate cut - but what does the pace of cuts mean for markets?
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

This is the tell-tale indicator of when central banks start to cut interest rates

It's not always the sexiest subject, but this year, it could determine which assets rule the roost.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Why markets appear priced for perfection with little insurance for downside risk

The latest episode of our Complexity Premia podcast is live and addresses the outlook for 2024
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Outlook Series

What's next for central banks and what will it mean for investors?

What will "peak rates" mean for investors in Australia - and when can we expect rate cuts?
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Poll positioning

Voters representing around half of the world’s GDP go to the polls this year—what might that mean for the economy and investors?
Niall O’Sullivan
Neuberger Berman
Macro

Earnings season forecasts are diverging at a historic pace

For our first pack of new charts in 2024, we take a deep dive into historic trends.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Switzerland CPI stagnant at 0.0% m/m, Australia’s CPI slumped to 4.3% y/y

Weekly Update | 12th January, 2024
FMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Outlook Series

The 10 most underappreciated risks in 2024

Stock markets ended 2023 on a high but what risks could hit hard this year? 12 fund managers share their underappreciated risks.
Buy Hold Sell
Livewire Markets
Macro

7 themes for the global outlook in 2024

The outlook for 2024 stands in stark contrast to the year we have just had.
Ronald Temple
Lazard Asset Management
Macro

Is high Australian household wealth a source of support for consumers?

We think high household wealth will not be enough to offset a challenging economic environment.
Diana Mousina
AMP
Macro

Why we expect the RBA to cut later than markets expect

Our Australian economic analysis and market outlook for 2024
Emma Lawson
Janus Henderson
Macro

Charts of the Year: 2023’s most popular visualisations, Part II

To kick off the new year, we present you with a second volume of charts looking back at 2023.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

December 2023 podcasts: Will 2024 crash Australia’s housing market?

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights in the last month of 2023. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Submission to the Covid 19 Response Inquiry

The disastrous overreaction to Covid 19 by Australian Governments will leave Australia worse off on health and economic grounds for decades
Jonathan Rochford
Narrow Road Capital
Macro

Canada’s median CPI flat at 3.4% y/y, US CB consumer confidence soared to 110.7

Weekly Update | 22nd December, 2023
MQG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Charts of the Year: 2023’s most popular visualisations, Part 1

For our final edition of 2023, we look back at ten charts that generated some of the most engagement with the Macrobond community.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
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