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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

One step forward, two steps back - May Jobs Report

Payroll gains were hotter than expected in May, slamming the door shut on any hopes of a July policy rate cut. The latest jobs report showed that 272,000 non-farm...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Morgan Stanley’s mid-year outlook and implications for Australian investors

Morgan Stanley recently updated its macro and market assumptions for 2024 and 2025. We present the key take outs and implications.
Alexandre Ventelon
Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Macro

Can anything stop the credit train?

The factors that have supported a strong US and Australia credit market are unlikely to continue
Andrew Canobi
Franklin Templeton
Signal or Noise

3 investors nominate their favourite income asset pick for the next 5 years

Signal or Noise presents its Income Investing edition sneak peek!
ORG
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Different ways to 2%

Central banks will likely maintain a 2% inflation target in the coming years.
Chris Iggo
BNP Paribas Asset Management
Macro

A rate cut for the ECB today, but then what?

As widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut its key policy rates for the first time in five years. The interest rate on the main refinancing operations,...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

A more resilient consumer and excess savings

The consumer looks in better shape than the RBA had feared, with spending revised up as households tap still-substantial excess savings.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

How to position for a lukewarm Australian economy

The positioning implications are, we think, relatively straightforward. But first, to the numbers.
David Berthon-Jones
Aequitas Investment Partners
Macro

A tricky balancing act for the RBA

Sticky inflation and soggy growth has put RBA in a difficult spot with an extended period of on hold policy looking increasingly likely.
David Cassidy
Wilsons Advisory
Macro

Why investors can’t afford to dismiss this macro headwind as trivial

It may be treated by most investors as too academic, but the risk from excess government spending is very real.
Dr Christian Baylis
Fortlake Asset Management
Macro

Some relief from US core inflation matching expectations in April

The Fed is sidelined on rates for some time as it watches how inflation evolves after an unexpected surge in Q1.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Solid EA core inflation unlikely to stop a ECB rate cut next week

Solid core inflation may not stop next week's ECB rate cut, but raises questions about the pace of further cuts.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

May 2024 Podcasts

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Australian retail sales decline to 0.1% m/m, German Prelim CPI rises 0.1% m/m

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 31 May 2024
BHP
FMG
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

US & EA wages growth shows a sharp improvement, with AUS & NZ lagging

Advertised wages growth is at/near pre-COVID levels in the US & EA, while still-high growth in AUS & NZ should improve this year.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The RBA won’t hike again, but cuts pushed into (very) distant future

There’s definitely a shift in interest rate expectations post April CPI, but a hike remains a low probability vs cuts are now very distant!
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

Bank clues to the bull market

Callum Newman of Fat Tail Investment Research explains why healthy banks here and the EU tell you whether to buy the dip or sell the rally
Callum Newman
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

China isn’t failing, we are failing to analyse it properly

By constantly trying to analyse a rapidly emerging China as if it is the US, we are constantly being surprised.
Mark Tinker
Toscafund HK Limited and Market Thinking Limited
Macro

Why I was wrong about NVIDIA

One way to look at NVIDIA is it got lucky with crypto, then AI. But, NVIDIA is leveraging its luck into a game-changing future for tech.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

The US presidential election: Implications for investors and Australia

The run-up to the 5th November US election could see increased share market volatility.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

RBNZ holdings the OCR steady at 5.5%, European Manufacturing PMI data broadly higher

We look at five of the biggest developments across global markets for the week ending 24 May 2024
FMG
MQG
+1
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Judging post-COVID economic recoveries

The US economy stands out, with key measures of activity back in line with their pre-COVID trends, although Australia is not far behind.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

6 reasons why the RBA's next move is likely down later this year

The most likely scenario for the central bank to hold rates ahead of cuts starting later this year
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

How understanding demographic shifts can help investors

Investors understand the power of demographic information. Back in the early 1990s, when I was presenting to investors at ASX-sponsored conferences, I recall...
+1
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

Signal and noise in the April unemployment rate

Unemployment has picked up, but the labour market remains tight with the RBA raising its estimate of the NAIRU.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
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