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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Australian NAB business confidence static at 1, UK GDP m/m grew 0.2% in August

Weekly Update | 13th October, 2023
SEK
SQ2
XRO
+1
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Japan is obsessed with wages

From policymakers to executives and the public, Japan is talking about workers' pay.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Corporate insolvencies head higher

National insolvencies are still rising.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The rise and rise of US employment

The US economy has been amazingly strong, as reflected in soaring bond yields. But is there a good reason for the US economy's resilience?
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Are the five horsemen of interest rates actually doing their job?

RBA Assistant Governor (Financial Markets) Christopher Kent discussed the five channels of monetary policy and what it means for inflation.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

1987 vs now - rising bond yields and the risks for shares

The rise in bond yields has left shares offering a low risk premium, leaving them at risk of more softness.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

German trade, inflation measures, SWIFT and the yuan

This week’s charts begin with a dashboard that helps us dissect Germany’s stagnant exports.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

US manufacturing ticked up to 49.0, Swiss CPI m/m dropped– 0.1% in September

Weekly Update | 6th October, 2023
COH
FMG
+7
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Japan has awoken and more things are going to get broken

5% short rates in the US are sucking global capital into the US and more things are going to get broken.
Mark Tinker
Toscafund HK Limited and Market Thinking Limited
Macro

How to invest in a market full of confusing signals

Is this the start of a "financial accident" or a healthy, garden variety pullback? We aim to find out.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Is it really 1987 all over again?

Market participants are making a lot of comparisons to 1987. But a lot has changed since those dark days.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Non-farm payrolls may show only modest softening in the US job market

Our economist models healthy US employment print using Indicio.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Cash flows and the effectiveness of monetary policy

Higher interest rates have the same estimated effect on inflation in Australia, the euro area, and the USA.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Hacked! Cybersecurity stocks fight back

At face value, the odds of being hacked are much higher than a few years ago. What are the risks, and where are the returns for investors?
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

What happens to global share markets if interest rates stay higher for longer?

Sticky inflation may force central banks to keep interest rates elevated for an extended period after they stop hiking. Investors should consider how this will impact...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

What’s driving higher bond yields?

September was a tough month for the fixed-rate bond market, but on the flip side, credit yields surged higher. In this month’s episode of The Rate Debate, I am joined...
Darren Langer
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Falling commercial real estate prices

Commercial property prices have fallen sharply in the US and Europe
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

5 things you need to know about the RBA's October interest rate decision

The RBA announced a hold on interest rates for October, but don’t get too comfortable yet.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Latest PCE inflation data doesn't support another US rate hike

With the latest PCE inflation data showing deepening disinflation amidst falling lending growth & M2, data doesn't support another rate hike
Steven Anastasiou
Economics Uncovered
Macro

Major stock indexes breaking down

Only 40 stocks in the ASX 200 ended in the green last month. Markets are blaming rising bond yields. So where do things stand?
Kiryll Prakapenka
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

The hawkish Fed pause, Chinese exports and sluggish Germany

This week’s charts begin with an examination of why the Federal Reserve’s latest move is being dubbed a “hawkish pause.”
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Australian CPI rose 5.2% y/y, US final GDP grew 2.1% q/q

Weekly Update | 29th September 2023
AMN
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Tightening the screw on households, income extravaganza, recession-tested sectors

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Valuing bank equities versus bank bonds

CCI has constructed measures of the value of bank equities relative to bank bonds.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Forecasting inflation on both sides of the Atlantic

Our economist constructs an Indicio model which shows sticky price increases in the short term.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
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