Home Wires

Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Why the RBA's August pause doesn't rule out another hike in September

Will Governor Phil Lowe go out with a bang with just one meeting left in his tenure?
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

7 key themes (and 4 stocks) to watch this ASX reporting season

The upcoming earnings season could be the most consequential in many years. Here's what you need to watch out for.
+1
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Commodity correlation, currency effects, Bitcoin rallies and the Fed

This week’s charts begin with a candlestick that shows how the current foreign-exchange volatility
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

July 2023 podcast highlights: China property crash, abuses of power, and US Q2 earnings

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Are Australia and the US heading for severe recessions?

Their money supply’s shrinking and yield curves have inverted. This confluence of events always precedes slumps; can this time be different?
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
Macro

Equity yields look poor compared to high-grade credit yields

DB argue that credit as an asset class has not looked this good vs equity in a long time.
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Political lobbying risks in the US

We outline the risks associated with political lobbying practices and 4D’s approach to dealing with recent controversies.
Sarah Shaw
4D Infrastructure
Macro

Where is China’s stimulus?

A raft of economic data last week again confirmed mixed signs for the post zero-covid recovery for China. The headline act was GDP. China’s economy in the second...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Why you need to know the difference between leading and lagging economic indicators

The economic picture is confusing at the best of times.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Chinese home prices, US inflation, and corruption perceptions

This week’s charts begin with a deep dive into Chinese real estate
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

What Wall Street CEOs are saying about the state of the economy

The key takeaways from earnings transcripts and C-suite letters from JPMorgan, Citi, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America and more.
+4
Kerry Sun
Livewire Markets
Macro

What’s driving inflation and what does it mean for monetary policy?

There has been an argument in recent months suggesting corporate profits are driving inflation. In this wire, I'll argue why that's wrong.
Jonathan Kearns
Challenger
Macro

7 key charts for investors to keep an eye on (and where they are now)

We remain reasonably upbeat on a 12-month view as falling inflation takes pressure off interest rates.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

A "vanishingly small" chance of avoiding recession

On our latest podcast episode, hear global macro insights from Ian Harnett, the Co-Founder of Absolute Strategy Research.
Antipodes Partners
Antipodes
Macro

Applause for a pause

Portfolio Manager Andrew Canobi shares his perspective on the Reserve Bank of Australia’s recent rate pause, and what’s changed.
Andrew Canobi
Franklin Templeton
Macro

China deflation, US stock market performance and falling energy prices in the Middle East

In this week's charts we take a fresh look at July US stock market performance
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Investors need Diversity, Equity and...Income.

We are in a new, New Normal as we like to describe it and investors need to rethink how to negotiate it as the era of cheap money and low inflation disappears. One way...
Mark Tinker
Toscafund HK Limited and Market Thinking Limited
Macro

This economist has correctly predicted each of the RBA's last 12 moves. Here is how he does it

George Tharenou, UBS' Chief Economist for Australia, has called every RBA decision correctly since July 2022. He tells us how he does it.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Ozempic comes for the ERP

Risk premia are getting thin, again.
David Berthon-Jones
Aequitas Investment Partners
Macro

Latest podcast interview: Winners and losers in FY23 and best opportunities for returns for FY24...

Have a listen to the latest punchy episode of our Complexity Premia podcast....
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Will inflation end with a bang?

In recent months we have been cautious about the outlook for 2023. That’s because Central Banks are fighting inflation by using higher interest rates to increase the...
CSL
WOR
Leon de Wet
Elston Asset Management
Macro

Can China export deflation to the rest of the world?

In a world in where much of the world is grappling with inflation, it might seem strange that inflation is virtually non-existent in China. In fact, in data released...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Europe’s labour snap-back, gold and the US manufacturing boom

This week’s charts begin with a dashboard breaking down the much tighter labour markets of the OECD
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

US wages growth picks up over the past few months

The resilience of wages growth likely reinforces the Fed's concern that it may take longer for core inflation to return to the 2% target.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Are risk premia high enough?

Equity and property risk premia look far too low right now...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
826-850 of 2837