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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Signal or Noise: This is the biggest event of the year for markets

Signal or Noise returns for the 2023 series with a show dedicated to the reopening of the world's second largest economy.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

2023 Rates Outlook: When inflation meets recession

I share my thoughts on where we are headed regarding Australia’s 2023 rates outlook, slowing inflation, and the risk of a global recession.
Chris Rands
Chris Rands
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Investment opportunity exists despite a likely tough year ahead

We're less convinced of a soft landing for global markets but expect this year will be better than the last, with some big bright spots.
Leon de Wet
Elston Asset Management
Macro

Passing peak inflation risk

In our first edition of CIO Monthly for 2023, we take a look at how the outlook has evolved over the recent festive months.
Scott Haslem
LGT Crestone
Macro

Five key themes for investors in 2023

Inflation, interest rates, earnings, China and energy security top long list of issues.
WLE
Matthew Haupt
Wilson Asset Management
Macro

China: Open for business again

Will China's shift to market-friendly policy fuel a sustained recovery? BetaShares' Cameron Gleeson considers China's outlook and the risks.
Cameron Gleeson
Betashares
Macro

Aussie house price losses exceed 10%, Sydney losses breach 14%: 43 year record in sight

The great Aussie housing crash is about to best a 43 year record, almost certainly in the next month...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Why this ex-central banker fears a second (and even bigger) mistake

Central banks are notoriously "behind the curve". But a former deputy governor, Stefan Gerlach, tells us why he holds even graver concerns.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Aussie house price crash about to pass through all-time record of an 11% peak-to-trough loss...

We forecast Aussie house price declines would breach the 10% threshold by Q1 2023, and that looks like it is playing out right now...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The Last Great Malls on Earth

In the Philippines, shopping malls are central to consumers’ lives. But how have those malls adapted to post-pandemic life? The Investment team behind the Pengana...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

The fixed-rate mortgage tsunami hitting the Australian consumer in 2023

The ASX All Ordinaries Index is up 8.0% since the beginning of the year. And, in contrast to its performance over the past 12 months, the ASX Small Ordinaries Index is...
JBH
Steve Johnson
Forager
Macro

The nuclear bomb that would change the face of modern finance (and your portfolio), if it goes off

The US just passed its debt limit. If that limit isn't raised, the global economy could go into free-fall.
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
Macro

January Podcasts: Megatrends 2023, What's Instore For 2023?, Fundamental Bears vs Technical Bulls and Early Reporting Season Indications and Valuation Roundup

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Why this year’s rally is not a bear market rally (and what it means for equities)

Last year’s equity drawdown was NOT the recession bear market. And this year’s rally is NOT a bear market rally. That bodes well for 2023.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Living in the New ‘New Normal’

After a hugely successful year running large (negative) momentum strategies on a wide range of assets, Macro traders have been more cautious in their ‘bets’ so far...
Mark Tinker
Toscafund HK Limited and Market Thinking Limited
Macro

Should You Still Bet Against the Bank of Japan?

One of the most fascinating developments in financial markets over the past year has been the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and its policy of yield curve control (YCC). It has...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Bulls beware – this rally is about liquidity, not fundamentals

Greg Canavan explains how liquidity flows are driving equity markets higher to start the year, and why they may not last
Greg Canavan
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

Australia’s latest inflation report all but guarantees another RBA rate hike

It's another scorcher, and no one is feeling hotter (or more under pressure) than Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Worried about the mortgage cliff? This is what the Fed and RBA need to see before cutting rates

Rate cuts will come eventually, but central banks need to break some things first.
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
Macro

Ten themes powering earnings growth as the global economy slows

Tim Richardson examines the business models which are best positioned for earnings growth in a slowing economic environment.
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

Think recession is a lock? Think again

There’s a strong view that a global recession is avoidable, from the likes of Goldman Sachs, economists, and maybe even the US Fed.
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
Macro

Pricing in a soft landing

With ongoing "bad news is good news" market sentiment, how much is the market pricing in a soft landing and what risk does that pose?
Max Pacella
Rest Super
Outlook Series

15 bold predictions for the year ahead

We challenged fund managers to put forward a bold or dangerous prediction for 2023. Which fortune-teller will reign supreme this year?
Buy Hold Sell
Livewire Markets
Macro

What the slowing economy means for equity investors

High interest rates and weak real earnings growth are pushing consumer spending down and slowing the economy. This is now impacting the revenues and earnings of many...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

"The nail in the coffin": Why the Bank of Japan's policy change matters to you

Has the Bank of Japan's yield curve control pivot heralded the end of something much greater? Livewire's Hans Lee investigates.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
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