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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Charts of the week: European jobs, inflation and the markets, and entrepreneurial women

This week’s charts visualise different effects of inflation
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

The Macro backdrop remains so important for equities

If the bond market is correct, two more rate hikes will take the cash rate to 4% for the first time in well over a decade.
HLS
James Gerrish
Market Matters
Macro

This is going to hurt

In a December Insight piece of the cashflow crunch ahead for discretionary spending we noted: “The argument that Australians have accumulated ‘buffers’ via $260bn in...
Tim Toohey
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

The RBA is between a rock and a hard place

Relative to history, current levels would be considered strong. But the cycle is what matters, and loans have overshot to the downside.
David Berthon-Jones
Aequitas Investment Partners
Macro

One big flaw in the super cap plan

Earlier this week, Jim Chalmers announced a new Government policy set to double the concessional tax rate, from 15% to 30%, for superannuation balances over $3...
Dr Don Hamson
Plato Investment Management
Macro

Why an RBA pause will be positive for portfolios

The RBA is set to pause rates soon - and that can extend the economic cycle and provide upside for investors.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Australian inflation surprises on the downside - but the RBA’s conundrum isn’t solved

Australia is the centre of trading action today as both inflation and economic growth figures are handed down.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Don’t bet on a US recession in 2023

After a 4.65% increase in interest rates this past year, why isn’t the U.S. economy tanking? And why aren’t retail sales plummeting? One reason, perhaps, is that...
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

Confused about what will happen with US inflation?

Oh inflation. For so long, you lay dormant, so much so that policymakers were complaining that there wasn’t enough of it. Last month has seen renewed concerns with...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Good news = bad news? Bad news = good news? Please explain.

What seems like bad news for investors - they turned up too early for the recovery - could turn out to be good news after all
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

Volatility set to continue in 2023

Bruce Apted from State Street Global Advisors gives his view on how volatility to shaping up for 2023.
Bruce Apted
State Street Global Advisors
Macro

The great housing crash has stalled, but is far from over

House prices have moved sideways in February due to seasonal factors that will be superseded by the RBA’s interest rate hammer...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

TikTok and the Age of Discovery

TikTok has changed the consumer experience forever with a hyper-personalised discovery experience that can beat the US incumbents.
Stew Glynn
TEN13
Macro

Why the demolition job on the RBA should be considered carefully

Recent calls for an overhaul of the RBA need to be considered carefully as maintaining the RBA’s independence is critical.
Mark Gardner
MPC Markets
Macro

Seven key charts for investors to watch

Shares had a strong start to the year seeing gains into early February around or above what we expect for the year as a whole. But we still expect that it will be a...
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Why I don’t think this is a dead cat bounce

With equity markets steaming ahead, there’s no shortage of people calling this a ‘dead cat bounce’ and, by implication, predicting another market correction. History,...
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

Farewell low “inflation” and interest rates?

Investors are assuming the “Great Moderation” remains intact. But the tectonic plates are shifting – and bode ill for long-term returns.
Chris Leithner
Leithner & Company Ltd
Macro

RBA needs massive overhaul

The RBA is hierarchical, insular, supercilious, hubristic, and resistant to outside influence.
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Why Gerard Minack believes we've been playing the Chinese reopening all wrong

Despite the rebound in iron ore prices in recent months, the former Morgan Stanley strategist argues a bar in Bangkok would be a safer bet.
Ally Selby
Livewire Markets
Macro

10 charts to inspire optimism in 2023

There are good reasons to believe that both the US and Australia can avoid deep recessions, as I've graphically outlined below.
Chris Bedingfield
Quay Global Investors
Macro

History’s largest economic power struggle is about to begin

Former exploration geologist, James Cooper, explains why a US vs China economic showdown is set to push commodity prices to new extremes.
James Cooper
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

US inflation: some concerning data points

US inflation came in higher than expectations. Now, month-to-month inflation numbers can be volatile. But there are more than a few data points in this report that are...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Why the RBA could “over hike” into a recession (and exacerbate the housing crisis)

Australia is not at risk of a recession according to most economists. But there is one reason we may enter one if we're not careful.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Apollo: The global economy may have "no landing", and that's bad news for your portfolio

Economists love to debate whether the global economy will experience a soft or hard landing. But what about "no landing"?
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Down, but definitely not out

Henry McVey provides an update to his "Keeping It Simple" mantra for 2023.
Henry McVey
KKR Australia
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