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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

China's Infrastructure Push

When it comes to infrastructure in China, it seems that old habits die hard
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Charts of the Week: Resilient recession stocks, US oil reserves and European inflation

This weeks charts: IMF reducing growth forecast, European bank lending shrinks; Spain's inflation cools, Norway sees deflation and US oil.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Quant investing: What is noise and stress testing, and how do we run these tests?

Noise and stress testing are important techniques for making a trading strategy more robust. Noise testing simulates random market fluctuations, such as those that...
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Is the banking crisis over?

As regulators guarantee the safety of banks, risks will shift into the non-bank lending domain.
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Can equities have a soft landing while the economy goes into recession?

The Federal Reserve's own economists now believe a mild recession is inevitable stateside. Equity traders disagree.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

The Dollar is Dead, Long Live the Dollar

The perpetual 'Black Knight' of our monetary system, the US Dollar has often been proclaimed as 'dead', but goes on despite flesh wounds.
Max Pacella
Rest Super
Expert Insights

How Australian investors can capitalise on the world's largest consumer base

With 1.4 billion residents, China's growing middle class is a hot topic in global investing. But there is an important caveat.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Quant investing: Transaction Cost and Slippage Analysis

Transaction cost and slippage analysis are important aspects of evaluating the performance of a trading strategy. Transaction costs refer to the fees and expenses...
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Macro

Are markets at a tipping point?

Original article published 3rd April 2023 Bank stress is not GFC 2.0, but downside risks remain March was eventful in markets. The collapse of SVB, forced merger...
Alex Stanley
Ardea Investment Management
Macro

Signal or Noise: Is this the start of a second Global Financial Crisis?

Livewire's series for economics takes a closer look at the multi-asset implications of the recent global banking crises.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

The three things PIMCO is watching as Australia hangs in the balance

We consider whether the cash rate has peaked, in the wake of the RBA’s first pause since the tightening cycle began last May.
Robert Mead
PIMCO
Macro

A tight US labour market despite higher interest rates

The US labour market is past its peak, but still remains very tight despite higher interest rates.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

When policy tightens: Signals from a non-systemic banking crisis

Scott Haslem, CIO of LGT Crestone delivers his views on whether the recent bank failures will have a systemic impact on markets
Scott Haslem
LGT Crestone
Macro

Charts of the Week - Pension tensions, OPEC production cuts and modelling US payrolls

This week’s charts begin by examining the Spanish population pyramid as an example of the challenge facing pension systems.
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Is the RBA’s cycle over?

Although Martin Place has paused its tightening cycle, the risk of further rate increases has not completely disappeared.
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

RBA Governor Lowe: Inflation will remain elevated until housing supply is resolved

Livewire joins Australia's leading press organisations to question the RBA Governor's decisions.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Did the RBA fuel the fire or douse the flames?

Chris Rands
Chris Rands
Yarra Capital Management
Expert Insights

Has China become "unavoidable" after being once labelled "uninvestable"?

JPMorgan's Gabriela Santos thinks so. But Catherine Yeung at Fidelity International goes one step further.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Why you should still be optimistic on China’s re-opening

When China first began to back down from its zero covid policy, there was a lot of skepticism. Whether it was doubt about whether the country could handle the huge...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

The beginning of the end

Increasingly it looks like the key turning points are behind us or in sight, whether we look at inflation, interest rates or property.
Craig Schloeffel
HMC Capital
Macro

Cash flow, excess savings & the risks to consumer spending

Consumer spending could hold up for longer than commonly thought if households change their saving behaviour.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

March Podcasts: It's Hard To Kill A Banking Crisis, Is A Banking Crisis Underway?, The Smashed Aussie Economy, Why India Is Not The Next China and A Sectoral Guide To Surviving The Business Cycle

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Charts of the Week - The Powell spread, money market inflows and trouble in Sweden

This week’s charts begin with bearish trends
Macrobond Financial
Macrobond Financial
Macro

Three reasons why an RBA “pause” on interest rates is a bad idea

Is a policy rethink needed? We canvass the views of GSFM’s Stephen Miller and other market commentators
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Macro

Corporate and RMBS default waves arrive

Both Australian and US default data point to rising stress
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
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