macroeconomics

Latest news and analysis on macroeconomics

Equities

Could this flashing warning signal sink the ASX 200 rally?

Surging treasury yields signal major debt and economic risk for the US. Could it torpedo the rally in stocks? What investors must watch now.
BHP
+9
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

Three scenarios to manage market turmoil

The range of scenarios is broad but can be grouped into rollbacks, reordering or retaliation to help manage investment risk.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Equities

How much higher can the US stock market go in 2025?

US stocks just logged a second year of +20% returns. Times have never been so good for investors. Can it continue? We investigate!
+5
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

You never get hit by the bus you’re watching

Whatever you think Trump's actions over the next 4 years will deliver in capital markets, you're probably wrong.
Sebastian Ferrando
Koda Capital
Macro

Is the US budget deficit sustainable? – Part 2/2

The US budget deficit is over US$2T for the last year - that's almost 8% of GDP, highest since the GFC.
Sebastian Ferrando
Koda Capital
Macro

Is the US budget deficit sustainable? – Part 1/2

The US budget deficit is over US$2T for the last year - that's almost 8% of GDP, highest since the GFC.
Sebastian Ferrando
Koda Capital
Macro

This indicator predicted every US recession for 35 years and it’s flashing a major warning for stocks!

US stocks are tumbling and investors are trying to figure out what’s next for the ASX. This indicator may be a critical piece of the puzzle.
Carl Capolingua
Livewire Markets
Macro

7 lasting impacts from the COVID pandemic

There are seven key lasting impacts from the Coronavirus pandemic; I explore them in this wire.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Asset Allocation

Why capital preservation (and not growth) should be your top investing goal for 2024

I share four actions you can take to help preserve capital in a year where downside risks dominate the outlook.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Asset Allocation

4 actions to take right now to protect your investments against recession

The Fed and RBA have hiked rates aggressively. This almost always means recession. Here are some actions to take to protect your portfolio.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

The biggest surprise from today's inflation print

In this wire, I take you through everything you need to know about today's CPI data.
Diana Mousina
AMP
Macro

Australian CPI rose 5.2% y/y, US final GDP grew 2.1% q/q

Weekly Update | 29th September 2023
AMN
+2
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Equities

A breakaway momentum signal has averaged 20.7%*

Historical breakaway momentum signals have been very bullish for US equities. We look into why this may be the case this time too.
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Asset Allocation

How you can build portfolio resilience through options and bonds

The economic expansion is long in the tooth. Equity valuations are stretched. Downside risks are growing. It is time to build resilience.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

7 key charts for investors to keep an eye on (and where they are now)

We remain reasonably upbeat on a 12-month view as falling inflation takes pressure off interest rates.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Asset Allocation

The Astute Investor Podcast | Inflation, supply chains, and the energy transition

LGT Crestone’s Chief Investment Officer, Scott Haslem, interviews Frances Lim, Head of Asia Pacific Macro at KKR.
Scott Haslem
LGT Crestone
Macro

12 burning questions investors' are seeking answers to right now

From inflation to house prices, Shane Oliver takes on the most commonly asked questions he gets as AMP's Chief Economist.
Shane Oliver
AMP
Asset Allocation

Why we prefer Australian shares (and bonds) over global rivals right now

The RBA's latest rate hike leaves it close to a pause from Q2. Isaac Poole of Oreana thinks that will provide a support for Aussie equities.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Why this year’s rally is not a bear market rally (and what it means for equities)

Last year’s equity drawdown was NOT the recession bear market. And this year’s rally is NOT a bear market rally. That bodes well for 2023.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Why China's reopening means the equity rally can continue

China's recent protests against zero-COVID are the biggest since 1989. But what implications are there for markets?
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
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