In 2017, emerging markets delivered some of their best returns since 2009. However, a series of headwinds – which include a stronger US dollar, lower liquidity due to rising US rates, China’s attempts at deleveraging, and uncertainty surrounding trade – have now hit. This has meant some of those gains... Show More
Over the years during Kevin Bertoli’s time travelling to South Korea, often at times when relations were considerably strained, people have always seemed to take the North Korean issue very much in stride. Show More
Get the full scoop on what Trump’s meeting with Kim Jong-Un, Labor’s $59b cash refund plan, and Spotify’s unconventional IPO means for you and your investments. Show More
Here are ten things that I think will shape the global and Australian economies in 2018, and that expect I’ll be talking about at conferences and events over the course of the coming year. Show More
After spending a week in Moscow, in my observation, Chinese tourists were everywhere in the city while it is very common for Russians to take Mandarin lessons at universities. Since the dissolution of territorial disputes between China and Russia during the Jiang Zemin’s era, the relations between the two countries... Show More
Local market jumped on global relief rally on less than expected hurricane damage and no missile test by NK. Local market had already priced in part of this relief rally upside yesterday as we moved on positive US futures…so we had the catch up session today. Given the China/Russia watered... Show More
After interviewing leading strategic thinkers I argue in the AFR that there appears to be a 1-in-10 to 1-in-4 probability of full kinetic conflict erupting between the US, South Korea, Australia and North Korea, possibly backed by China, which could turn radioactive, and you had better consider how you can... Show More
North Korean leader, Kim Jong-Un, has confirmed that the Democratic People's Republic now has thermonuclear capabilities after testing it's newly developed hydrogen bomb at the country's nuclear test site. Aside from obvious political, military and environmental implications, this could have considerable economic ramifications, especially for Australia should it get caught... Show More
Local market fell on the open with NK risk and then recovered part of the loses on the back of the positive commodity outlook. The data out of US remains patchy on the consumer outlook with another weaker than expected non-farm payroll while manufacturing PMI’s were solid. ECB hinted that... Show More
Local market ran into a global selloff with investors worried about bond market worries. Apart from the miners, every other sector saw pain after similar selloff in the US market overnight. NASDAQ showing more weakness…already below 50 day MA and heading towards 100 day MA…last time it broke 50 day... Show More
Local market was started positive before falling and then making a decent recovery on average China inflation data to finish mainly flat. Tomorrow is the last day of trading before we go into a four-day long weekend…not sure investors want to leave global markets open to US/Russia/Syria/China/North Korea for that... Show More
Korea is the epicentre of escalating geopolitical tensions between the US, China and North Korea yet the KOSPI Index is near all-time highs. EAI analyst Eric Fong recently visited Seoul and the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ). The cosmetics and travel sectors remain poor risk/reward while the technology sector continues to offer... Show More
Hamish Douglass, the CEO, CIO and Lead Portfolio Manager (Global), discusses why capital preservation is important, gives his five biggest risks for global markets and explains why he is cautiously optimistic about President Donald Trump’s pro-growth. Show More