s&p 500

Paul Moore

The last two weeks have been at odds with our expectations – the market has gone into capitulation mode judging by price action and record outflows. The ‘late cycle’ fears have now rolled through to all sectors; the S&P 500 is off 13.1% since its highs in mid-September (as at... Show More

Callum Thomas

Following on from the popular post on the seasonal turning point for the VIX last week, here's an insight into seasonality for the S&P500. The chart shows 2017 superimposed on the historical average price movement across the year, and it looks like a fairly decent fit, with the implication being... Show More

Callum Thomas

Here's 10 charts on the S&P500 covering the short term outlook, medium term earnings outlook, US election, and political risk. Overall a similar conclusion from last week holds i.e. that short-term there remains some risks, but medium term the outlook is positive on the back of improving earnings. Aside from... Show More

Callum Thomas

Here goes 10 charts on the S&P500 which evoke both bullish and bearish thoughts. The bearish ones are generally shorter-term in nature while the bullish ones are more medium term... The simplest way to reconcile it is that we could easily see a correction early this year before the market... Show More

Callum Thomas

In this week's edition, based only on the limited selection of charts, you would say that price is very strong, and that it's at least partly justified by improving fundamentals. While increasingly bullish sentiment and overbought indicators open up the possibility of a short-term correction, if the improving fundamentals trend... Show More

Marcus Tuck

As the world awaits the outcome of the US Presidential and Congressional elections, one important trend that has been largely overlooked during the period of election uncertainty is the return to profit growth of the US corporate sector. Show More

Angela Mangan

The Dow Jones previously generated a technical sell signal at 18,085 on 9/9/16. Last night the Dow generated a secondary technical top / technical sell signal. This further negative technical break re-enforces the expectation for a pullback to 17,480 - the minimum expectation for a pullback. It is significant... Show More