We are used to the experience of economic developments influencing and sometimes determining political events. This past year we have seen political events influencing markets and economic forecasts more than usual. The rise of the populists as a reaction to the specific disaffection with wage stagnation, immigration and terrorism is... Show More
Local market recovered from the fall at the open on the back of Chinese CPI data showing prices coming off. The market started to see the potential of the Chinese leadership to pump some cash to stimulate the economy while covering the June seasonal cash squeeze. Miners outperformed the market... Show More
Let's first consider the broader global economic environment, in particular, the macro drivers of a “globally co-ordinated” gradual improvement in economies which are continuing to evolve. The primary driver of markets, at this point in time, is globally accommodative monetary policy, which underpins economic expansion and the rise in financial... Show More
Local market ran up on China data before fading to a slight positive day for the end of month. Tax loss selling in May/June will add to the seasonal weakness while geopolitical risks and US fiscal delays are overshadowing global growth story. We had strong manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMI data... Show More
The British pound was the big mover this week as the UK unexpectedly headed to the polls. In our brief weekly video, I discuss how durable sterling's rally is likely to be. I also touch on the role of the RBA minutes in the AUD/USD decline earlier this week, check... Show More
Following his initial commentary on Monday 29 June, Paul Moore provides further commentary in a video update on the UK Referendum. "The overall situation is very different to previous growth scares as it is a political event as opposed to normal economic cycle issues playing out. So one does have... Show More
Many markets, including Hong Kong, are operating a short week this week thanks to the May day bank holiday, which doubtless will leave Monday relatively quiet as well as many take the long weekend. Japan is effectively closed all week for Golden Week. In the UK, the Monday is the... Show More