The usual stock market mantra is that you sell on the rumour and buy on the fact. With a significant rally ensuing after Donald Trump’s surprise election win, is it the same here? Should you sell now that the new President has been inaugurated and the risks of a Trump... Show More
Following the US election, we have seen bond rates continuing to increase, a stronger US dollar, firmer commodity prices, and a US stock market at all-time highs. Show More
In The AFR I reflect on the puzzling conflicts between the equity and debt market reactions to the emergence of President-elect Donald Trump: stock-jockies have ignored higher future interest rates---and hence a higher opportunity cost of capital used to discount listed company cash-flows back to the present day---and are instead... Show More
The Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BofAML) Global Fund Manager Survey for November has just been released. The survey was conducted from 9 to 14 November, i.e. after the US election results were known. Responses were provided by 177 fund managers from around the world with combined assets under management... Show More
Ardea have been monitoring markets closely over the past 24 hours as you can imagine, and while the volatility has been significant, we think overall these events are favourable for markets and good for investors. Show More
In a turnaround almost identical to the UK Brexit vote, the US confounded all the pollsters by electing billionaire Donald Trump as the 45th President of the USA. And just like Brexit, initial share market reaction was very negative as the probability of a Trump win increased during vote counting... Show More
Steve Johnson from Forager Funds and Peter Hall from Hunter Hall Global Value (ASX:HHV) share their views on the prospect of investing in the Trump era. The discussion touches on the immediate implications for investors, how this political event could impact the outlook for interest rates and US stock valuations.... Show More
Irrespective of the initial market reaction, I do not think that the outcome of the US presidential election dictates how the markets will act in the long-term. There have been numerous studies which have shown that the presidential outcomes have limited impact on the performance of the US market and... Show More
Americans are heading to vote in the US elections, some like never before and some armed with placards – the result could be ugly but at least it will be entertaining. Australians meanwhile are watching on like its Cup Day as many business leaders hope that it will improve global... Show More
"Based on our review, we have not changed our conclusion that we expressed in July with respect to Secretary Clinton," FBI chief James Comey said in a letter to Congress on Sunday, US time. Bookmakers are now offering $1.20 for a Clinton victory vs. $5 for a Trump victory. Meanwhile,... Show More
