US election

Tamar Hamlyn

Ardea have been monitoring markets closely over the past 24 hours as you can imagine, and while the volatility has been significant, we think overall these events are favourable for markets and good for investors. Show More

Dr Don Hamson

In a turnaround almost identical to the UK Brexit vote, the US confounded all the pollsters by electing billionaire Donald Trump as the 45th President of the USA. And just like Brexit, initial share market reaction was very negative as the probability of a Trump win increased during vote counting... Show More

Buy Hold Sell

Steve Johnson from Forager Funds and Peter Hall from Hunter Hall Global Value (ASX:HHV) share their views on the prospect of investing in the Trump era. The discussion touches on the immediate implications for investors, how this political event could impact the outlook for interest rates and US stock valuations.... Show More

Fidelity International

Irrespective of the initial market reaction, I do not think that the outcome of the US presidential election dictates how the markets will act in the long-term. There have been numerous studies which have shown that the presidential outcomes have limited impact on the performance of the US market and... Show More

Livewire News

"Based on our review, we have not changed our conclusion that we expressed in July with respect to Secretary Clinton," FBI chief James Comey said in a letter to Congress on Sunday, US time. Bookmakers are now offering $1.20 for a Clinton victory vs. $5 for a Trump victory. Meanwhile,... Show More

Patrick Poke

It was a quiet week this week as Victorians enjoyed the Spring Racing Carnival. Next week promises to be anything but quiet with the much anticipated US presidential election. This time next week we'll be talking about either President-elect Trump or President-elect Clinton... A scary thought. In the meantime, Shane... Show More

AMP Capital

Perhaps the best that can be said of the US election is that it will soon be over. While polls had been moving in favour of a Clinton victory, the FBI's announcement that it is examining new emails in relation to her use of a private email server while Secretary... Show More

Livewire News

The election is less than three weeks away and it looks increasingly likely we're going to see another Clinton in the White House - see the chart from Nate Silver's For those not familiar, Nate Silver called 100% of states correctly in 2008 and 49 out of 50 in... Show More

Nicholas Forsyth

The US election is looming on Tuesday 8th November; personally, I would rather vote on a Saturday like we do. Currently, the polls have Hillary Clinton marginally ahead, but we all saw with BREXIT that there could be a huge margin for error in polls, especially when the race for... Show More

AMP Capital

The 8 November US Presidential election is looming as a significant event for investors (and the world) given the “policies” of Republican candidate Donald Trump. The smoothest outcome for investors would be a Clinton victory but Republicans continuing to control the House of Representatives, i.e., more of the same. But... Show More

Angus Coote

Since the surprise FOMC rate hike in 1994, the FOMC has never raised rates, or cut them, without the ‘pre-approval’ of the Fed Funds Futures (FFF) market. If history holds, the FFF would need to price more than 60% probability before the FOMC would act. Yellen and Stanley Fisher are... Show More