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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Military conflict and market impacts

The terrible events in Ukraine, resulting from Russian military action, are above all else a human tragedy. Many innocent lives will be needlessly lost. Against a...
Jonathan Armitage
MLC Asset Management
Macro

A simple economic ready reckoner on the Ukraine crisis and Australia

The human cost of Russia's invasion of Ukraine is quickly building, with a humanitarian crisis also unfolding as many are forced to flee their country. But what is the...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Tim Toohey: How Ukraine war will affect stocks, bonds and commodities

Tim Toohey, head of macro and strategy at Yarra Capital Management, sat down with our own Patrick Poke this week to discuss all things macro. The first 20 minutes of...
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Macro

The battle between capital and labour and its crucial impact on inflation

Last week we were surprised to read comments from Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey suggesting that workers should not demand pay rises, lest they create a wage...
Pete Robinson
Challenger Investment Management
Macro

Moving Averages: What are they and are they useful?

The moving average is one of the most popular technical indicators available to market participants. It is calculated by averaging share prices over a specific period....
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
The Rules of Investing

What war in Ukraine means for investors

Yesterday Russian President Vladimir Putin announced a "special military operation" in Ukraine - an apparent euphemism for "invasion". For many investors who haven't...
The Rules of Investing
Livewire Markets
Macro

As the RBNZ hikes its cash rate again, where does this leave Australia?

Australian rate adjustments often follow those in New Zealand. So when the Reserve Bank of New Zealand last week lifted its official cash rate by 25 basis points to...
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Macro

KKR: 2 sectors to buy, 1 red flag to watch for as the mid-cycle rolls on

Against a backdrop of rising wages alongside increasing commodity prices and house prices, the recovery of the US economy – and therefore most developed markets – is...
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Macro

History never repeats… or does it?

The current state of markets could well resemble the quote attributed to American writer Mark Twain: “history doesn’t repeat itself, but it often rhymes.” With...
Phil Strano
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Fifth-largest increase in house prices in 160 years will correct after hikes...

After a massive 20% rally last year - one of the largest on record - Kieran Davies from Coolabah Capital doesn't see a repeat this year. In fact, with a potential 100...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Markets brace as the Fed embarks on a historic unwinding of policy

Interest rate hikes and global inflationary pressures, as well as the withdrawal of stimulus programs and geopolitical risks, are expected to increase volatility...
James Wilson
James Wilson
Jamieson Coote Bonds
Macro

Will commodities really save your portfolio from inflation?

Chinese inflation indexes were weak again yesterday. Consumer price inflation has been weak for more than a year now. Yesterday merely confirmed December’s downtrend....
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

How to get exposure to cryptocurrencies

The capacity to self-custody cryptocurrencies generates an immeasurable opportunity for current, and potential market participants. Through the removal of...
Mike Young
Mike Young
Macro

Whatever the RBA decides, volatility is here to stay

This year many of the moves that dragged Australian bonds to higher yields were related to offshore factors, as the RBA continued to hold a more dovish line. We...
Charlie Jamieson
Jamieson Coote Bonds
Macro

Chart of the week - The Fed vs the stockmarket

Fed sweet spot indicator: Rate hikes, all else equal, tend to be bad for risk assets in that it incrementally removes monetary tailwinds, raises the discount rate...
Callum Thomas
Topdown Charts
Macro

Accurate CBA economist forecasts RBA ends hiking cycle at 1.25%, inducing a 10% decline in house prices as $500bn of fixed-rate loans expire in 2022/23...

Gareth Aird from CBA, “arguably one of the most accurate economic forecasters in recent times,” just published some new research projecting the course of interest...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Stick to your guns when the market wobbles

The new year still feels new but share markets haven’t been partying. Jitters on Wall Street, with ripple effects to other share markets, have raised questions about...
Jonathan Armitage
MLC Asset Management
Macro

US inflation data shocks equities, again

In the AFR on Friday I wrote that blockbuster inflation data overnight has forced markets to converge with our expectation for 6-7 hikes from the US Federal Reserve in...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The AREITs best placed to maintain pricing power and grow earnings

In an inflationary environment with rising interest rates, our focus has turned to which stocks and sub-sectors are best placed to maintain their pricing power and...
CHC
GMG
Amy Pham
Pengana Capital Group
Macro

Why inflation will cool

Right now it feels like inflation is everywhere. At the petrol pump, in the supermarket, at the butcher especially. Indeed, inflation prints particularly in the US are...
Alastair MacLeod
Elston Asset Management
Macro

Chart of the week: Ascending from the shadows

Shadow policy rates on the rise: Shadow policy rates are designed to factor in the effects of quantitative easing (QE). They present a view of the effective level of...
Callum Thomas
Topdown Charts
Macro

Neuberger Berman's 10 investment themes for 2022

In Neuberger Berman's '10 for 2022', the leaders of our investment platforms gathered to talk about the evolution of the investment environment over the last twelve...
Adam Grotzinger
Neuberger Berman
Macro

Why interest rates need to normalise (and rate hike fears are unfounded)

Over the last decade, lower interest rates have failed spectacularly in moving inflation. This brings into question the same approach for the years ahead, where...
Brad Matthews
Brad Matthews Investment Strategies
Macro

There's still reason to be positive

On 24 January, we recommended trimming some equity risk in portfolios. While we believe the economic outlook remains very positive, events over our summer, including...
Scott Haslem
LGT Crestone
Macro

Future of house prices in RBA’s hands

National dwelling values have risen 34% since the RBA started lowering its cash rate from 1.5% in June 2019 to 0.1% today. But what cheap money giveth, expensive money...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
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