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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Inflation: Mirage or Oasis? | Webinar & Podcast

Discussing if record low interest rates, pandemic level monetary and fiscal stimulus along with surging asset prices translate into long term inflationary pressures. ...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Frydenberg's budget again surprises with much smaller than forecast deficit, at least $14bn ahead of plan...

The Commonwealth budget continues to improve amidst the largest sell-off in the government bond market since 1994 as Coolabah Capital Investments (CCI) has repeatedly...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Dalio’s 6-point checklist for spotting bubbles

High valuations in tech stocks, speculative behaviour in stocks and cryptocurrencies, and a rush of new investors to markets. You’d be forgiven for thinking that this...
Patrick Poke
A Rich Life
Macro

The markets set to out-earn the US

The US market (MSCI US Index) crushed EAFE (MSCI Europe, Australasia and Far East Index) again in 2020, gaining 21% versus the MSCI EAFE Index’s 8% gain. This is...
Bruno Paulson
Morgan Stanley IM
Macro

Why sustainable earners will rise again

This year is widely billed as one of reopening and recovery for financial markets around the world, but one shouldn't rely solely on a turnaround of COVID-loser...
Michelle Lopez
Michelle Lopez
abrdn
Macro

The bull case for investment markets in 2021 | webinar and podcast

Nucleus Wealth's Head of Investments Damien Klassen, and Head of Advice Tim Fuller lay out the bull case for investment markets in 2021. Global equities, as of this...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Opportunity knocks: Europe

Since late last year we’ve viewed 2021 as a year of potential and opportunity in global equity markets. While a lot of focus has been on the US and the mega-cap Tech...
Chad Padowitz
Talaria Asset Management
Macro

Short and sharp: A healthy dose of scepticism

Aside from a short period of global market unrest triggered by meme stock trading, investor sentiment has remained broadly positive through the first few weeks of the...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

The biggest theme driving markets

Australia’s equity market performance versus global markets has waxed and waned over recent decades. A key driver of relative performance has been relative global...
David Bassanese
Betashares
Macro

There is no reason to be bearish, says manager of US$645bn AUM

Bank of America's Global Fund Manager Survey (FMS) surveyed 225 investors, collectively holding $645 billion in assets under management, to determine the outlook for...
Mia Kwok
Mia Kwok
Livewire Markets
Macro

Inflation expectations are rising - or is it just oil?

Investors' favourite word last year was “unprecedented," but this year “reflation” appears to be on everyone’s lips. For central bankers and investors, breakeven rates...
Anthony Doyle
Anthony Doyle
Firetrail Investments
Macro

Let’s get fiscal - did financial markets change forever in 2020?

The year 2020 will be remembered for many events. Besides COVID-19, there were the Australian bushfires and US political turmoil. But financial markets also...
Chris Bedingfield
Quay Global Investors
Macro

Where in the world to find winning small-caps

With the ASX 200 currently just 3.7% below its pre-pandemic level, many investors who didn’t buy the dip have a severe case of FOMO . Small caps are a possible...
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Macro

Likely Budget surprise ahead: what this means for your portfolio

Australia’s economic recovery continues to underpin a significant improvement in the Commonwealth budget. Last week, Prime Minister Scott Morrison said that the number...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

RBA QE is being outpaced by rest of the world, putting upward pressure on A$ and implying more QE is needed...

In a world of near-zero interest rates, the stance of monetary policy is now better measured by the size and composition of a central bank’s balance sheet. In...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

It’s (almost) all about the yield

Two big questions asked this week had a common thread. The questions were; are stocks overvalued and why doesn’t the RBA undertake more quantitative easing? The common...
Jonathan Rochford
Narrow Road Capital
Macro

The RBA could increase its QE program at any time...

In the AFR today I write that financial markets overlooked a potentially profound exchange last Friday that pierced the Reserve Bank of Australia’s impenetrable...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Short and sharp: what if it all goes wrong?

Global markets have started 2021 with the same enthusiasm for the global reflation trade that has been driving markets since November of last year. We too are focusing...
Seema Shah
Principal Asset Management
Macro

Is the market at risk of collapse?

Over the last few months, increased risk-taking by investors has led to ballooning prices for loss-making businesses, IPOs in unprofitable firms, and speculative...
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

No need for RBA to follow RBNZ in tightening home loan standards

Faced with an overheating housing market, the RBNZ is tightening lending standards for home loans by reinstating pre-pandemic loan-valuation ratio (LVR) restrictions...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Credit Suisse top ideas for 2021

As we happily farewell 2020, it’s time to look to 2021 and identify the most promising investment opportunities. Here are our top ideas for 2021. 1. Keep cash to a...
Andrew McAuley
Credit Suisse
Macro

5 ways to capitalise on chaos

If it bleeds, it leads. Forgive my crassness, but in journalism, you’ll almost always find the best stories contain conflict. Perhaps it’s also true in markets: as...
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Macro

6 lessons from the Gamestop saga

There has been a lot written about the Gamestop saga in the last week. I want to discuss the medium-term market impacts rather than moralising about who is right and...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Expert Insights

Coolabah: RBA cash rate should be -3% to -4% hence QE to infinity

In November, Australia entered uncharted territory as the RBA announced the introduction of Quantitative Easing (QE) via $100 billion of purchases of 5- to 10-year...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Reddit Rambo’s retail revolution is positive, not negative, for equities

In this punchy, 31min episode of Coolabah's Complexity Premia podcast, Ying Yi Ann Cheng and I discuss a range of important developments, including: Coolabah's...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
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