fx

Westpac weekly AUD video

Sean Callow

Martina's turn on our brief FX video this week, with the Aussie having traded lows since January. At the start of the week though, the Aussie received a boost from the positive risk sentiment following the first round of the French presidential elections. Martina discusses how Australia Q1 CPI and... Show More

Westpac weekly AUD video

Sean Callow

The Australian dollar was hit hard this week by the market's scramble to price in a Federal Reserve rate rise this month, which boosted the US dollar across the board but last night hit the Aussie harder than most. I note the key comments from the Fed and look at... Show More

The market may be getting ahead of itself in expecting helicopter money from the Bank of Japan, says Saxo Group's John Hardy

Saxo Capital Markets Australia

John Hardy, head of FX strategy at Saxo Group, thinks that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) may initiate a 'reasonably sized stimulus measure' before implementing helicopter money. This could happen after the US election as the BoJ needs to feel comfortable before the next phase of quantitative easing can begin.... Show More

US Dollar might be re-entering the channel it broke during the Brexit referendum

Saxo Capital Markets Australia

The US dollar lost its safe haven play last week when it encountered major resistance from its 200 days moving average level, according to Saxo Capital Markets Sydney-based trader James Kim. In the next few days, the US Dollar Index might be testing re-entering the channel it broke during the... Show More

"We may have seen the top of the AUD at 0.78 US cents", say Sydney-based Saxo traders

Saxo Capital Markets Australia

The Aussie Dollar plunged more than 200 basis points following the release of the quarterly CPI number for Australia on Wednesday 27-April. The -0.2% for the 1Q16 was the lowest in seven years. According to Sydney-bases Saxo Capital Markets' traders, the most recent price actions seem to indicate that "we... Show More

AUDUSD appears to have found a support level at 0.75

Saxo Capital Markets Australia

After five consecutive days of positive gains, the US dollar index (DX) fell and the AUDUSD appears to have found the support level at 0.75 handle. Saxo’s Sydney-based traders expect the AUDUSD to trade below the resistance level 0.76 handle given the lack of economic data this week, until Friday’s... Show More

"I'm shorting everything' going into nasty March", says Steen Jakobsen

Saxo Capital Markets Australia

A nasty March is what Saxo's Chief Economist, Steen Jakobsen is expecting. He points to the increasing strength of the US dollar which, he says, will kill commodity stabilisation as well as the ability of emerging markets to revitalise the global economy. He also points to the Bank of Japan... Show More

We’re now seeing the end of central bank planning, say Saxo’s Steen Jakobsen and John Hardy

Saxo Capital Markets Australia

If anyone had thought that the Chair of the Federal Reserve Janet Yellen was going to calm the markets last week, they couldn't have been more wrong. And that proves what Saxo Bank's Chief Economist, Steen Jakobsen and Saxo's head of FX Strategy, John Hardy, have been saying for some... Show More

New Year gift to the global economy from China?

Saxo Capital Markets Australia

With the world's second largest economy about to take the largest annual holiday in the world: Chinese New Year. It's worth assessing the possibility of what would be a welcome and, arguably, overdue 'gift' from the Chinese central bank; the People's Bank of China. Saxo Capital Markets' analyst Kay Van-Petersen... Show More