In our office, we have switched from Secret Santa to Bad Santa. In Bad Santa, each member of the office draws a number from a hat. The lowest number then starts by picking and opening a present from a pile of wrapped presents. The next lowest number has the choice... Show More
The most important data in the report was that margins didn’t expand as much as the “Whisper number” thought they would. Firstly, what is the “whisper number?” Most readers will be aware of what is called “the street's expectation” – which is the forecasts that the sell side brokerage houses... Show More
Jack Lowenstein, co Chief Investment Officer at Morphic Asset Management has not taken the conventional path into professional investing. Having started his career as a journalist, Lowenstein has spent the last two decades investing in global equities. He describes himself as a ‘frontier investor’ willing to go where many are... Show More
The Theory of Reflexivity was postulated by guru hedge fund manager George Soros to describe investments whose success breeds even more success, and conversely whose troubles breed even more troubles. Such self-perpetuating success stories are rare, but one industry abounds with them: banks. We used to own shares in Wells... Show More
In the spirit of lighter reading into Xmas season, this week's blog by Jack Lowenstein here at Morphic looks at a recent academic publication that examines if there is a link between the cars that Fund Managers chose and the risks they take in their fund. Turns out there is... Show More
If the product is good, it must be a good company, right? The paradox of investing is that great investments often have little in common with great companies. This week we examine the bull case for Tesla, as espoused by one stockbroker and find it, shall we say, somewhat lacking.... Show More
After last weeks 'mea culpa' , enough navel gazing and time to look to where in the world money can be made from the reality of this new situation. Markets don't care much for 'why' things happened, they care more about 'what it means'. And it's a fascinating set-up. Most... Show More
Last week our digital marketing person asked if we could write about Trump this week. Why, I asked, since everyone has already written on it? "Umm, turns out people aren't as interested in the Asian airline sector as us". In a world of President-elects on twitter at 3am abusing the... Show More
Want to make a small fortune? Start with a large one and invest in an airline. There are no shortages of jokes about the remarkable ability of the sector to destroy shareholder value. Even the great man himself (Warren Buffet), managed to lose money in airlines with his investment into... Show More
One of the things about working in markets, is that you spend a lot of your time being wrong. This can be difficult to accept for many people who, by their nature, want to be right or have been told they are right. Markets don't care much for your opinion... Show More
