The most important factor driving bond markets is the direction of global Central Bank short-term interest rates, as many of them are attempting to normalise rates in a post GFC era. The challenge is to achieve this without roiling capital markets, as we are late in the global business cycle,... Show More
We have passed the sweet spot in this business cycle, where easy monetary conditions and synchronised growth pushed share markets higher. We are transitioning into a more challenging phase, as China and Emerging Markets (EM) decouple and we are left with a US economy at risk of overheating. Show More
The tit-for-tat trade war between the US and China is ramping up, with neither country showing signs of backing down. This is a major global issue, and it looks like it’s getting worse before it gets better. Show More
In part 3 of this video series, we discuss some of the key risks associated with investing in Asian markets, which investors need to be cognizant of. Show More
Asian markets performed well in the last year. The MSCI Asia ex-Japan Index (AUD) is up 14% in FY18, outperforming the ASX 200 by approximately 5%. Looking forward to FY19, there are 5 critical questions that will determine the path of equity markets in Asia: Show More
Last week, the White House announced tariffs on imported steel and aluminum of 25% and 10% respectively – a move that sparked global indignation and threats of a trade war. But tariffs are more common than you may imagine. Show More
The prospect of a trade war has become more significant again. While China may fare worse than the US in this scenario, there are some broader implications that could enhance China's power on the global stage, not least via the One Belt One Road initiative. Here I discuss this and... Show More
