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Buy Hold Sell
Listed Series
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The Pitch
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us economy
Latest news and analysis on us economy
Macro
May 30, 2023 10:37
High inflation, low unemployment signal a high risk of US recession
High inflation and unsustainably low unemployment echo the inverted yield curve in signalling a high risk of a US recession.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 30, 2023 10:37
Investment Theme
May 24, 2023 09:03
Why the recent US turmoil is a storm in a bean (counter's) cup
Analysis of the recent US bank turmoil indicates the issue is contained to smaller banks, which comprise less than 3% of the system.
Steven Glass
Pella Funds Management
May 24, 2023 09:03
Macro
April 27, 2023 12:05
Should we still be worried about the banking sector?
Economist Janu Chan argues we should still be worried. The big question is how much.
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
April 27, 2023 12:05
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Macro
April 12, 2023 07:21
A tight US labour market despite higher interest rates
The US labour market is past its peak, but still remains very tight despite higher interest rates.
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
April 12, 2023 07:21
Macro
March 17, 2023 02:21
Not just your regular bank failure?
Throughout history, many, many, banks have failed. In the US, bank failures are surprisingly common and even in more recent times – the Federal Deposit Insurance...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
March 17, 2023 02:21
Macro
March 01, 2023 09:16
Don’t bet on a US recession in 2023
After a 4.65% increase in interest rates this past year, why isn’t the U.S. economy tanking? And why aren’t retail sales plummeting? One reason, perhaps, is that...
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
March 01, 2023 09:16
Macro
February 27, 2023 14:39
Confused about what will happen with US inflation?
Oh inflation. For so long, you lay dormant, so much so that policymakers were complaining that there wasn’t enough of it. Last month has seen renewed concerns with...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
February 27, 2023 14:39
Macro
February 15, 2023 17:42
US inflation: some concerning data points
US inflation came in higher than expectations. Now, month-to-month inflation numbers can be volatile. But there are more than a few data points in this report that are...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
February 15, 2023 17:42
Macro
January 13, 2023 16:58
US inflation edges lower
US inflation came in around expectations. It is probably getting better, but there is still the opportunity to see what you want in the numbers. If your view is that...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
January 13, 2023 16:58
Macro
December 16, 2022 11:22
Lessons from past US recessions
In the context of the bond market signalling a US recession in late 2023/early 2024 - where CCI has been forecasting a recession since earlier this year - we have...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
December 16, 2022 11:22
Macro
December 05, 2022 21:39
Three lessons from the 1970s' Great Inflation (and why it shouldn’t be repeated)
Last month, there was a moment that analysts and financial market participants had been hoping for some time. Like kids waiting for Christmas morning, market...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
December 05, 2022 21:39
Macro
October 31, 2022 09:07
A peak in US inflation opens the door to smaller Fed hikes in December
US core inflation and wage growth have both peaked, but remain high, with the split of inflation showing persistent, broad-based demand-driven gains in consumer...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
October 31, 2022 09:07
Macro
September 13, 2022 20:49
An inversion of M2 and the CPI: a reliable recession signal
With the US’ M2 growth decelerating sharply, as opposed to inflation, a significant recession should now be the major concern Alongside the US delivering its second...
Steven Anastasiou
Economics Uncovered
September 13, 2022 20:49
Macro
June 20, 2022 08:39
The risk of US recession in 2023 surges
The risk of a recession in the US in 2023 based on bond/equity market pricing and forecasts has surged as interest rates have risen and equities have slumped, with...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
June 20, 2022 08:39
Macro
May 20, 2022 10:05
US equity crash points to heightened risk of 2023 recession
The stock market is signalling a heightened risk of a US recession in mid 2023 assuming no recovery in equity prices over the rest of this year. This is earlier than...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 20, 2022 10:05
Macro
May 02, 2022 09:22
Falling real wages and the risk of much higher US interest rates
US wages growth is still rapidly accelerating with the employment cost index up about 4½% over the past year, which is the fastest growth since 2000 and 1991 before...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
May 02, 2022 09:22
Macro
August 23, 2021 08:21
Believe in the expansion
The Delta variant has become the predominant strain of COVID-19 in much of the world. In response, we're seeing a return to lockdowns and other socially...
Nathan Lim
Lonsec Holdings
August 23, 2021 08:21
Macro
July 20, 2021 13:37
Reflections on the shortest US recession in history
It’s official. As announced on 19 July, the United States National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) determined that last year’s US recession* ended in April – just...
David Bassanese
Betashares
July 20, 2021 13:37
Macro
March 15, 2021 09:30
High risk of US equity market correction
US equities are extremely expensive according to long-term valuation measures such as the cyclically-adjusted PE (CAPE) ratio. The CAPE ratio for the S&P500 is...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
March 15, 2021 09:30
Macro
September 30, 2020 11:35
Global opportunities amid COVID-19 with Hamish
Douglass
We sat down with Hamish Douglass, CIO of Magellan Asset Management to discuss global opportunities amid COVID-19. In this interview, Hamish discusses the gap between...
Bell Potter
Stockbroker
September 30, 2020 11:35
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Equities
Why boring stocks can be good investments – and one I like
Patrick Poke,
A Rich Life
Equities
2 ASX mining stocks that could double (or more) in a year
Tom Stelzer,
Livewire Markets
Equities
This recently triggered market signal has never failed to predict gains
Andrew Mitchell,
Ophir Asset Management
Equities
I sold my CBA to buy these two financials
Luke Laretive,
Seneca Financial Solutions
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