valuation

Angela Ashton

With the housing market continuing to make news, we examine nationwide house prices relative to changes in income, lending rates and a measure called ‘hypothetical borrowing power’, to assess how they compare to 'fair value'. Show More

Marcus Tuck

As Warren Buffet put it best: “Price is what you pay. Value is what you get”. And just as an individual share price can be disaggregated into earnings per share (EPS) times its PE ratio, the same thing can be done at a market index level - as we discuss... Show More

Callum Thomas

This week it's Commodities, specifically an aggregate view of commodities and a look at valuations. Commodities as an asset class rose from relative obscurity to become a popular addition to portfolios by the more innovative asset allocators in the last 10-15 years. Although the "commodities supercycle" perhaps overstated some of... Show More

Livewire Exclusive

Five years is a long time in financial markets. Five years ago, the ASX 200 was just hitting 5,000 points for the first time since Lehman’s collapse, US stocks were being “whipsawed” by instability concerns in Italy, and Dick Smith Electronics was getting ready to debut on the ASX. Show More

Sam Ferraro

Following its 5% to 10% miss on consensus earnings for 1H, Domino’s fell by around 15% from peak to trough last week. The market has little tolerance for earnings misses from growth stocks. Even after the price decline, the stock is still trading on well above 20 times 12 month... Show More

Michael Knox

When we go into periods of big volatility like this, it is the amount of liquidity in the US wholesale system that decides how long that period of volatility will last. I think this period will last weeks rather than days. I think by the time we get to the... Show More

Livewire Exclusive

We asked a panel of portfolio managers how they are thinking about investing in today's richly valued market. Specifically: what attributes they are seeking, and how they are avoiding biases. Steve Johnson offers some essential reading, Tim Kelley focuses on capital preservation, and Alex Pollak cites four key characteristics. Show More

Livewire News

The global economy is now more than seven years into a durable but modest expansion. But what will happen when the cyclical tailwind that began last summer fades? And how will key policies in the world’s major economies pivot in response to both rising populist pressures and diminishing returns from... Show More

Stephen Arnold

Investment legend Peter Lynch, who ran Fidelity’s Magellan Fund from 1977 to 1990 with extraordinary success, coined the term “ten-bagger” to describe his really big winners. Finding investment ten-baggers, or even ones that merely double 
or triple in value, is certainly a tantalising prospect and most investors are behaviorally hardwired... Show More

Fidelity International

One of my earliest (and fondest) memories of my time at Fidelity is the new analyst induction program. During my first year, in 2004, some 35 of us new joiners congregated in Boston for training and to meet some of the most senior portfolio managers. The highlight for me was... Show More

Patrick Poke

In Friday’s edition of the Summer Series, Roger Montgomery explained in his Whitepaper https://www.livewiremarkets.com/wires/34157 the difficulty of the task that investors face in avoiding a range of biases that threaten their returns. Despite our desire to be rational decision makers, our ‘humanness’ conspires against us and we engage in things... Show More

Livewire Exclusive

The five largest companies by market cap in the world are all technology companies. They have a combined market cap of ~$2 Trillion and combined revenues of $530 Billion over the last 12 months. CB Insights data shows that VC-backed technology companies are on track to raise >$100 Billion this... Show More

Christopher Joye

In The AFR I explain why I have lifted the cash weights in my own portfolios from ~15% in February to ~50% today and investigate whether there are any cheap asset-classes left after global risk-free rates have been crushed to the lowest levels in human history. I conclude that Australian... Show More

Hugh Dive

On Wednesday last week the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported that inflation for the June quarter was 0.4%, down from 1% in 2015. This is watched very closely by the market, as it is a key measure used by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) in making their decision... Show More

Steve Johnson

Ratios are shortcuts for understanding value – sometimes they enlighten and sometimes they deceive. At Forager, we apply relevant ratios or mental models to a business in order to understand it better. Different tools for different companies must be used depending on the type of business we are researching. Like... Show More

Livewire Exclusive

As central banks conspire to drive down interest rates, both short-term and long-term, the question of valuation becomes an increasingly difficult one. One of the key inputs to valuation is known as the ‘risk-free rate’, and is generally based on long-term bond yields. As Quantitative Easing and negative interest rates... Show More