Buy Hold Sell: CGT changes be damned, we're hunting ASX growth stocks
In the wake of the budget and the proposed CGT changes, there has been plenty of spirited debate about the future of growth investing in our great country. And rightly so.
But let's get real. Whatever we might think about the changes, Aussies will still create and invest in great growth businesses. It's in our blood.
No tax change is going to completely crush home-grown innovation - the very innovation which brought us the Coolgardie cooler, the Hills Hoist, the Cochlear implant, and WiFi. Oh, and Tim Tams... mustn't forget the Tim Tams.
Typically, these great growth stories are born from the small-cap end of the market, so in this episode, Livewire's Chris Conway is joined by Oscar Oberg from Wilson Asset Management and Alex Shevelev from Forager Funds Management, who each bring three stocks they believe have big potential.
That’s right, it’s going to be wall-to-wall buys for this episode so strap in, and let's go!
This episode was filmed on Wednesday, 20th May 2026.
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Edited Transcript
Before we get to the stocks, however, Oscar, I just wanted to ask you first up, when small cap sentiment is a little bit soft like it is today, what are the signals that tell you that a company still has the ingredients to be a long-term winner?
Oscar Oberg: I think a little bit soft might be one of the great understatements. I think it's the fourth bear market we've had in small caps in six years. So it's a very tough market at the moment, but what we see in tough environments and when the economy is tough is generally the strongest companies with the strongest management team, and these are generally founder-led companies, generally do quite well and never waste an opportunity. So stocks like Nick Scali and supply networks have done very well in these periods in taking market share. For us at Wilson Asset Management, we've got a very strict investment process. We're focusing on earnings growth, we're focusing on the quality of management, and we're looking at the strength of the company in their chosen field of expertise. But we need a catalyst and we're very consistent on that and we're constantly questioning management around those catalysts, and when those catalysts start to fade, that for us is often a sell signal.To finish off, I think one of the most important things when we speak to management and the boards through periods like this is to really have faith on your balance sheet and not do silly things, and we've seen so many examples over the years. There might be companies that were looking to acquire a company in a different market, and fast-forward, it's a tougher market and they still go through that acquisition, put the balance sheet under pressure. So they're the things we're looking for, but ultimately if the company still fits our investment process, we look through periods of uncertainty like this and invest for the longer term.
Alex Shevelev: Look, we're quite valuation-focused investors. So I wouldn't say there's not a whole heap of things that are completely non-negotiable, but we do try to price for those things. One of the things that really helps in that process is to have a good amount of recurring revenue in a growth business because of course if you are trying to run around and trying to replace revenue from the last year that you've lost, life's a little bit more difficult. If what you can do is rely on the prior year's revenue and work to build that over time, that is going to be a much steadier path to growth. And of course with that comes a fair amount of operating leverage which we like to see as well in that free cash coming straight down.
The other one, of course, and Oscar hit on it there, is just the management side of things. We want these people running the business, of course. We want them cognisant about the capital decisions that they make. We also want them cognisant on what sort of decisions they're making around interacting with investors and putting their best foot forward as well.
Praemium (ASX: PPS)
Alex Shevelev: So Praemium is the first pick here. Praemium is an investment platform used by advisors. This business has been overshadowed by its two larger cousins in the listed space, HUB and Netwealth. It's been overshadowed for years in fact with those two businesses and it trades at one-third of the multiple of those two larger businesses. It has had a more chequered history, but we think there are some very positive characteristics there. They've continued to win quite a lot of clients and attracted quite a lot of FUM, new FUM from existing clients, new FUM from new clients as well. So that avenue is quite healthy.
Then they have done something reasonably remarkable in the small cap world. They have reduced the tech spend into next year by about $9 million that we have seen disclosed so far. That $9 million is very meaningful to the profitability of this reasonably small business, and those savings have already taken place and so we should see that flow through into the next financial year.
On top of that, there's an acquisition made a couple of years ago, that acquisition should also start to contribute into this coming year as well. So lots of positives there for the business and lots of reasons why we think it can rerate closer to the valuations of some of the larger peers.
Regis Healthcare (ASX: REG)
Oscar Oberg: Yeah, the stock is Regis Healthcare, the ticker is REG, and it's Australia's largest aged care operator. The company's done very, very well. As I think people are well aware, there's a shortage of aged care beds across the country and the government has been very supportive around funding for the sector coming out of the Royal Commission. The company's performed well this year. It actually upgraded earnings two weeks ago, but the share price is down 15%, which is a product of the market that we're in.
But what we think the market misses on this stock is the company has no debt. It has around $200 million of cash on the balance sheet, but it has a cash inflow of around $400 million coming in from RADs. And so effectively it's got a $600 million war chest set it can use for acquisitions, which as the largest player in the country, when all its competitors are indebted, gives it an advantage for acquisitions, and you've got one of the best long-term stories around the ageing population in the country. So key pick for us, and while the share price has fallen, the business continues to do well and we keep buying shares.
Nanosonics (ASX: NAN)
Your starting point here are decent margins on that business, and with those high incremental margins, consumables are about an 80% or above gross margin. We should really see that Trophon only, which is that core business margin, continue to climb over time. Then independently, they have spent the last six years and 150-odd million dollars developing a similar device for the disinfection of endoscopes. It's a lot of time, it's a lot of money, but it seems like it's finally coming to fruition. So we should see the first revenues from that over the next little while, and it should hopefully cement for investors that there is five-plus years here of growth still to come on this business.
Megaport (ASX: MP1)
Oscar Oberg: It's probably the worst market to call a technology company, but I will, and that's Megaport, MP1 is the ticker, and I think the Australian market's been crying out for an artificial intelligence beneficiary apart from BHP. And so we think Megaport is certainly that and it comes from the acquisition of Latitude that was made at the end of last year. And for context, there's an offshore player called DigitalOcean that's trading on an enterprise value to EBITDA valuation of over 20 times. Megaport bought the Latitude business for eight times. So we think in time this will be regarded as one of the great acquisitions.
But effectively or simplistically, what does Latitude do? It provides computing power, and as you know, there's a shortage of memory that we're seeing globally. And so you're seeing customers looking to lock in long-term contracts, and we've just seen two meaningful contracts that Megaport's announced and we think this is the start of many. The traditional Megaport business, the connectivity business will continue to do well and grow double digits. So putting that all together, we think that the stock can strongly rerate from here and can be hopefully Australia's artificial intelligence beneficiary.
Hipages (ASX: HPG)
Alex Shevelev: Right. So the third one for me is Hipages Group. So this business is much smaller than the other ones we've talked about today. It's about a $100 million market cap. It is effectively a platform where tradies can come to seek jobs, and if you are wanting to post a job, gardening, plumbing, whatever, you can go on there and you can receive bids from multiple tradies. It's a very good platform for joining that sort of interest because tradies want that extra revenue. It's a very valuable source for them, and as a result of that, Hipages has been able to gradually increase the price that it charges to those tradies.
Now we're at a stage wherever business is trying to build an ecosystem around the tradies that they already have. So that last acquisition was of an insurance business that they can then use. They can then use their existing set of tradies and distribute that insurance to them. The revenue growth here is also coming with some pretty healthy operating leverage. So the business actually has a target now, 40 to 50% of incremental revenue should be flowing through to pre-tax free cashflow. Those are very strong numbers. You're already starting from some pretty healthy cash generation. So over time, we should really see that cash generation improve and add to the already pretty large pile of cash on the balance sheet which is about $30 million.
IPD Group (ASX: IPG)
Oscar Oberg: The company's called IPD Group or IPG is the ticker and it's a distributor of electrical equipment, and it's largely the ABB brand which is the second-largest electrical products business globally. This business listed back in 2021. It did very well for a number of years as it rolled up a number of distributors across the country and diversified geographically, and like often acquisition strategies, needed time to digest that. And we think it's through that period now and it was trading at around just over 20 times earnings back then and today it's trading at, I think around 16, 17 times when we look forward.
But the real kicker to own the business is it's got a significant data centre exposure. It's around sort of 20% of the business, it's growing very strongly, and the outlook for data centres and data factories, as we all know, is very, very strong. So we think there's a great organic growth profile there. Again, it's a founder-led company, balance sheet's very strong, close to net cash. So we do think that they'll potentially acquire as well in a creative fashion. So we think the business is a good chance of seeing that share price rerate over time.
Chris Conway: There you have it, ladies and gentlemen, six stocks for your watch list. I know I'll be adding a few of those to mine as well. If you enjoyed this episode, make sure to give it a like and don't forget to follow our YouTube channel. We're adding lots of great content every single week.
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6 stocks mentioned
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