Home Wires

Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Why this ex-central banker fears a second (and even bigger) mistake

Central banks are notoriously "behind the curve". But a former deputy governor, Stefan Gerlach, tells us why he holds even graver concerns.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Aussie house price crash about to pass through all-time record of an 11% peak-to-trough loss...

We forecast Aussie house price declines would breach the 10% threshold by Q1 2023, and that looks like it is playing out right now...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

The Last Great Malls on Earth

In the Philippines, shopping malls are central to consumers’ lives. But how have those malls adapted to post-pandemic life? The Investment team behind the Pengana...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

The fixed-rate mortgage tsunami hitting the Australian consumer in 2023

The ASX All Ordinaries Index is up 8.0% since the beginning of the year. And, in contrast to its performance over the past 12 months, the ASX Small Ordinaries Index is...
JBH
Steve Johnson
Forager
Macro

The nuclear bomb that would change the face of modern finance (and your portfolio), if it goes off

The US just passed its debt limit. If that limit isn't raised, the global economy could go into free-fall.
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
Macro

January Podcasts: Megatrends 2023, What's Instore For 2023?, Fundamental Bears vs Technical Bulls and Early Reporting Season Indications and Valuation Roundup

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information.
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Why this year’s rally is not a bear market rally (and what it means for equities)

Last year’s equity drawdown was NOT the recession bear market. And this year’s rally is NOT a bear market rally. That bodes well for 2023.
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Living in the New ‘New Normal’

After a hugely successful year running large (negative) momentum strategies on a wide range of assets, Macro traders have been more cautious in their ‘bets’ so far...
Mark Tinker
Toscafund HK Limited and Market Thinking Limited
Macro

Should You Still Bet Against the Bank of Japan?

One of the most fascinating developments in financial markets over the past year has been the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and its policy of yield curve control (YCC). It has...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Bulls beware – this rally is about liquidity, not fundamentals

Greg Canavan explains how liquidity flows are driving equity markets higher to start the year, and why they may not last
Greg Canavan
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

Australia’s latest inflation report all but guarantees another RBA rate hike

It's another scorcher, and no one is feeling hotter (or more under pressure) than Reserve Bank Governor Philip Lowe.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Worried about the mortgage cliff? This is what the Fed and RBA need to see before cutting rates

Rate cuts will come eventually, but central banks need to break some things first.
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
Macro

Ten themes powering earnings growth as the global economy slows

Tim Richardson examines the business models which are best positioned for earnings growth in a slowing economic environment.
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

Think recession is a lock? Think again

There’s a strong view that a global recession is avoidable, from the likes of Goldman Sachs, economists, and maybe even the US Fed.
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
Macro

Pricing in a soft landing

With ongoing "bad news is good news" market sentiment, how much is the market pricing in a soft landing and what risk does that pose?
Max Pacella
Rest Super
Outlook Series

15 bold predictions for the year ahead

We challenged fund managers to put forward a bold or dangerous prediction for 2023. Which fortune-teller will reign supreme this year?
Buy Hold Sell
Livewire Markets
Macro

What the slowing economy means for equity investors

High interest rates and weak real earnings growth are pushing consumer spending down and slowing the economy. This is now impacting the revenues and earnings of many...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

"The nail in the coffin": Why the Bank of Japan's policy change matters to you

Has the Bank of Japan's yield curve control pivot heralded the end of something much greater? Livewire's Hans Lee investigates.
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

US inflation edges lower

US inflation came in around expectations. It is probably getting better, but there is still the opportunity to see what you want in the numbers. If your view is that...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Outlook Series

Is the worst behind us for markets? Here's what Livewire readers think

We delve into your expectations for inflation, market headwinds, house prices, and more in these reader survey insights.
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Outlook Series

The top macro indicators to watch in 2023

Nine of Australia's finest fund managers share the big-picture themes and data points they are watching as the new calendar year begins.
Buy Hold Sell
Livewire Markets
Macro

Chart of the Week - Death By 386 Rate Hikes

Monetary Policy in 2022: Monetary policy tightening was the big macro theme of 2022, and it is sure to echo at least for a time into 2023. The 2022 full-year count on...
Callum Thomas
Topdown Charts
Macro

Historic drop in house prices ahead

The early data suggests the housing market correction continues with gusto in 2023...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

December Podcasts: Ethical investing, recessions and property

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information. The World of Ethical Investing As ethical...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Worst house price declines in 42 years, with more to come...

Aussie house prices fell in 2022 by their largest margin since records began in 1980...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
1051-1075 of 2838