Home Wires

Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

How to find quality

“The individual investor should act consistently as an investor and not as a speculator” – Benjamin Graham, author of The Intelligent Investor With all the turmoil...
Deni Hoxha
Wilson Asset Management
Macro

What to make of the current cycle

Historical analogues are unfortunately even less useful than usual As always, the problem with these types of "market-performance-during-tightening cycle" analyses...
David Berthon-Jones
Aequitas Investment Partners
Macro

2023 predictions on the economy, inflation and the fixed-rate mortgage cliff

Chris Rands
Chris Rands
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Three lessons from the 1970s' Great Inflation (and why it shouldn’t be repeated)

Last month, there was a moment that analysts and financial market participants had been hoping for some time. Like kids waiting for Christmas morning, market...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Coppleson: why the new bull market could start as soon as March 2023

History never repeats but it often rhymes. Markets are rallying at the moment but there is pain to come. The data suggests March 2023 could be a turning point for...
Richard Coppleson
Bell Potter
Macro

No evidence of a housing market bottom

Contrary to the “hopeium” out there, there is currently zero evidence that the great Aussie housing crash is bottoming out. The most constructive thing we can say is...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

China may be last to open up, but doing so will be a key driver for markets in 2023

There is a tendency in the west to see China as an authoritarian monolith – in contrast to the supposedly highly accountable democratic west, albeit only those with...
Mark Tinker
Toscafund HK Limited and Market Thinking Limited
Macro

November Podcasts: Crypto, Insolvency, Australian Property and a Market Bottom?

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information. The Great Insolvency Façade with Caroline Di...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Stocks and bonds both surged on Powell's speech: Only one of these moves makes sense

On 30 November, Fed Chair Powell delivered a speech entitled, Inflation and the Labor Market, at the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy. Markets surged...
Steven Anastasiou
Economics Uncovered
Macro

Why China's reopening means the equity rally can continue

China's recent protests against zero-COVID are the biggest since 1989. But what implications are there for markets?
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

The recession we have to have... again

Deutsche Bank released its outlook and it’s not good news for bulls. Recession is coming. Brace yourself for 2023.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Chart of the Week - Bond Yields Going Down!

Bond Yields vs the PMI: As alluded to in the section on treasuries in our latest report, one impact of a weakening growth outlook would be relief for bonds (our...
Callum Thomas
Topdown Charts
Macro

Five medium-term inflation pressures - and what they mean for investors

Inflation has been the top thorn in markets' sides. But as surges turn the corner, I ask what challenges still lie ahead and how your portfolio should be positioned...
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Aussie house prices fall another >1% in November

In the first 28 days of November, Aussie home values have lost another 1% plus based on CoreLogic's 5 capital city index, bringing the cumulative draw-down to 7.7%...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Where investors went in 2022

The traditional wisdom is that retail investors are a skittish lot. One whiff of a market downturn and they’re outta there. Of course, we’ve seen in more recent...
FMG
STO
+2
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Interest rate shock just around the corner

The Reserve Bank of Australia has a massive trick up its sleeve. The potency of this gambit is still very much underappreciated. In its latest financial stability...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

What will America and its onlookers be reflecting on this Thanksgiving

I have mixed memories of my first Thanksgiving, soon after I went to study in Massachusetts in 1985. Kindly invited to a friend’s family celebration, I was driving my...
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

10 key themes for 2023

Each year, the Neuberger Berman investment leaders identify the 10 key themes they believe will be prominent in markets over the next 12 months.
Neuberger Berman
Neuberger Berman
Macro

The RBA’s Dilemma: How house prices could limit rate hikes

In response to the rapid, ongoing rise in inflation, global central banks have embarked on policy tightening at an unprecedented pace. Indeed, market pricing for the...
Aaditya Thakur
PIMCO
Macro

An own goal in the making

With the RBA continuing to stoke market volatility as it ratchets interest rates higher, it seems APRA, Australia’s other financial regulator, is eager to get in on...
+2
Phil Strano
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Australia, the lucky country again?

Journalist Donald Horne once proclaimed Australia to be ‘the lucky country’. Horne’s intent was to comment that, while other industrialised nations created wealth...
Cameron McCormack
VanEck
Macro

Sydney house prices have fallen 11.1%, declining at a 17% annual rate, while Brisbane prices fall at 20% annual rate

So there is good news and bad news. The bad news is that national house prices are falling at a record 14% annual rate based on the last three months of data from...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Emerging Markets FinTech is a step ahead

Before the iPhone even had a copy-paste function, millions of Kenyans were banking on their phone. Mobile money, real-time payments, crypto, and even BNPL were all...
Stew Glynn
TEN13
Macro

The three big trends for ETF markets in 2023

ETFs have flourished in recent years. They can tap into niche investor interests, such as robotics. They are easy to use and accessible. They can be a cost-effective...
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Crypto crash bears all the hallmarks of classic non-bank financial crisis...

The crypto crash has been fascinating to watch and bears the hallmarks of a standard non-bank financial crisis that inevitably arises every time there is a liquidity...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
1051-1075 of 2795