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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Three key lessons from 2022 (and how it will boost returns in 2023)

It is still too early to tell if 2022 will end with a bang or a thud in financial markets. But the shared pain across traditional fixed income and equity assets has...
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

China's Pivot

Chinese stocks have had a phenomenal run over the last two weeks. The Hang Seng index is over 22% higher than a low struck in late October. And some of the big...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Do fixed income and alternatives present opportunities?

With yields rising sharply, bonds are beginning to look interesting again. This has led investors to suggest that fixed income will reclaim its status as a worthy...
LGT Crestone
LGT Crestone
Macro

How will a weaker US dollar impact Australian investors?

“A US dollar is an IOU from the Federal Reserve Bank. It’s a promissory note that doesn’t actually promise anything.” – PJ O’Rourke, US humourist The strong US...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

There have been 6,700 basis points in rate hikes this year - but what's actually changed?

If you added up all of the hikes made by G20 central banks, even including the cuts made by Turkey, Russia, and China, the cumulative total is still 6,700 basis...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Has the central bank pivot arrived

The story of 2022 so far has been of central banks pushing interest rates ever-upwards with the hope of curtailing inflation. Over the course of the last few...
Aaditya Thakur
PIMCO
Macro

The stocks set to benefit from thawing relations with China

The last time Australia had a full formal meeting with the Chinese President was in 2016. A more hopeful time when we'd signed an extensive free trade agreement only...
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Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Signal or Noise: When will Australia's property plunge end?

To quote the words of author Satyajit Das, property is Australia's default religion. The national residential market is worth nearly $10 trillion - five times the size...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Are equity investors being adequately compensated for risk?

Rising inflation and interest rates have created a headwind for equities, and a plethora of near-term challenges, such as geo-political risks, a downturn in China’s...
LGT Crestone
LGT Crestone
Macro

Aussie house prices now down 7.1%, and falling at a 14.6% annual pace

Aussie home values have now lost 7.1% from their May peak (at the time of the first RBA hike), and have been falling at a 14.6% annual pace over the last three...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Brace yourself: Why a 6% interest rate in America (still) can't be ruled out

It was December 2020 when the US Federal Reserve first told us what conditions it would take for the interest rate in the world's largest economy to begin rising...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Is a recession really on the horizon?

Fears of a sharp slowdown in global growth have continued to intensify over recent months. Inflation has proven to be stickier than most expected, interest rates have...
LGT Crestone
LGT Crestone
Macro

Australia's population growth roars back

Australia’s population and economic outlook has roared back to life with the latest available arrivals and visa data. Permanent and long-term net arrivals is an...
Ashton Reid
Martin Currie
Macro

The Australian economy may have finally reached its crunch point

‘Tis the season to start feeling pessimistic and tighten the budget if the latest data is anything to go by. There’s been gloom and doom predicted for markets all...
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Seven reasons why Australia should avoid a recession

Economic and financial commentary has been particularly gloomy of late, with talk of a “dire”, “grim”, “bleak”, “perilous” and “confronting” outlook. The problems...
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

US Midterms: Why gridlock in Washington is good news for Wall Street

The US Midterm elections are underway and markets have a preferred horse in the race - the GOP. If that horse gets up in one house of Congress, expect stocks to...
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
Macro

October Podcasts: Green metals panic, China property crash, killing inflation and the great energy heist

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information. Crash of the Century: The End of Chinese...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Australia’s next mining boom? The role of critical minerals in renewable energy

Australia’s resources sector is already one of the largest and most advanced in the world. Our well-established mining industry and world-leading mining equipment...
Amanda MacDonald
LGT Crestone
Macro

The one asset that could outperform in any future markets scenario

The US Federal Reserve hiked by another 0.75% at its November meeting. There has been a remarkable amount of tightening in a short period of time. Equities and rates...
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Wish-thinking a pivot into existence is the same tomfoolery that got us here

Finance headlines are like any other type of news headlines. Sometimes they're based in fact, other times rumour and innuendo, and at worst lies and mistruth.  Yet...
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
Macro

A pause is not a pivot: Why markets (still) underestimate the Fed's challenge

The Federal Reserve’s decision to increase the upper limit of its benchmark overnight lending rate by 75 basis points (bps) to 4.00% was easy for the market to...
Daniel Siluk
Kapstream
Macro

Chart of the Week - A small (monetary policy) pivot

Small Central Bank Interest Rate Decision Tracker: Back again onto one of my favorite charts — this one tracks monetary policy interest rate moves across the...
Callum Thomas
Topdown Charts
Macro

Payments: The economy's veins and arteries

Evolution of payments and mobile money‍ TEN13's Seamus Crawford looks into the innovation in payments as cash quickly becomes a relic of the past.  Here we go deep...
Stew Glynn
TEN13
Macro

Victoria's budget outlook improves on stronger revenue

After posting very large deficits during the pandemic, Victoria's budget has turned around and continues to rapidly improve, with the state government reducing its...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

A peak in US inflation opens the door to smaller Fed hikes in December

US core inflation and wage growth have both peaked, but remain high, with the split of inflation showing persistent, broad-based demand-driven gains in consumer...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
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