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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

A few ideas for how to manage your investments during a market decline

Market downturns are painful to go through and are an unavoidable part of investing.  The way you handle periods when your investment portfolio is declining, can...
Hue Frame
Frame Funds Management
Expert Insights

Strap yourselves in... it's going to get bumpy

There is no way to sugarcoat it, we're in for a bumpy ride. That's according to Charlie Jamieson of Jamieson Coote Bonds. Charlie equates the lag effect of economic...
Chris Conway
Livewire Markets
Macro

Japanese Iwakura Mission and the Great Repatriation

Concluding his 2 part series on global talent flow, our TEN13 deal team member Lachlan Duffy, draws parallels between a centuries-old Japanese mission and modern...
Stew Glynn
TEN13
Macro

The battle global investors can't ignore

It’s fair to say geopolitics is the most fraught it’s been in the last two decades. Nancy Pelosi’s recent visit to Taiwan has set the US and China on a pathway of...
+4
Alison Savas
Antipodes
Macro

What Australia's hottest inflation print since 1990 means for rates (and stocks)

For anyone who thought Australia's inflation story would be different from our global counterparts, today may have provided quite the alarm. A day after the Federal...
BOE
ELD
+6
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

What does "a bread and butter" Budget mean for your portfolio?

"Hard decisions" was the theme of last night's second Budget for calendar 2022. Seven months after the Morrison government handed down a pre-election Budget, the...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Are we heading back to 70s-style stagflation?

“This is nothing like the 1970’s, which was a pretty dismal period, and not just because of polyester and disco.” – Barry Ritholtz, CEO, Ritholtz Wealth Management ...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

The Indian diaspora: A tech 'Mafia'?

One of our TEN13 deal team, Lachlan Duffy, kicks off a two-part series on global technology talent flows in our borderless tech world. In Part 1, Lachlan looks into...
Stew Glynn
TEN13
Macro

Understanding the economy with Chinese characteristics

In watching the coverage of the 20th Party Congress, I can’t help but compare it to other political events around the world. It feels like the complete opposite of a...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Market Matters Macro: Why we are bullish

The end of last week painted a picture to encourage the bulls although as we often say most statistics can be skewed to tell any specific tale: US 2-years and...
MP1
James Gerrish
Market Matters
Macro

RBA predicted almost no house price declines when it hiked rates, but now expects the biggest declines ever...

In a fascinating RBA freedom of information disclosure dumped on Friday, which references Coolabah's house price analysis/forecasts (including work published here on...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

End of a golden era for profits?

Let’s step back from the daily market gyrations to consider secular trends impacting longer-term asset returns and strategic asset allocation decisions. If we assume...
Stephen Dover
Franklin Templeton
Macro

Why China's biggest uncertainties provide opportunities for its equities

China’s economy is in recession. The nation’s zero COVID-19 policy and property market woes have led to a collapse in growth. China’s authorities no longer even...
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Can shares build wealth in a new era of higher inflation?

“I remember the $0.05 hamburger and a $0.40-per-hour minimum wage, so I’ve seen a tremendous amount of inflation in my lifetime. Did it ruin the investment climate? I...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

Signal or Noise: "This is the biggest signal we're going to get"

Financial markets have rarely been more exciting than they are right now. And while equities get most of the attention, the real action is in global bonds.  The US...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Tim Toohey ups the ante: Add risk, consider tech and favour Australia

The first half of next year will be marred by a “decent-sized recession in the northern hemisphere,” says Yarra Capital’s Tim Toohey. He also suggests, somewhat...
Glenn Freeman
Livewire Markets
Macro

Record immigration key to avoiding more rate increases

In the AFR I write: Let’s start with the shocker that was the latest US inflation report for September, which initially triggered a savage 3.5 per cent drop in US...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

US headline inflation will be high for a while

US inflation came in hot overnight. It is worth noting that while there are some positive signs for goods, services inflation is getting worse. See the tables below:...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Sydney house prices have now fallen 10%, national prices on track for >15% loss

The great Aussie housing crash continues to unfold as the charts below highlight, which are updated to 13 October 2021. In Sydney, home values have now lost more...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Migration to Australia surges, with overseas students returning en masse

Following the re-opening of Australia’s border earlier this year, net migration has surged and the population is again growing strongly, almost back at pre-pandemic...
Kieran Davies
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Why rising oil prices are deflationary, not inflationary

There are two major themes I’ve been writing about over the past six months: 1. The Fed will crush the US economy with its tight monetary policy, leading to a...
Greg Canavan
Fat Tail Investment Research
Macro

The toughest questions in investing, as answered by UBS Asset Management

At the best of times, investing is not exactly the easiest pastime. You have to know why you want to make money, where you want to make it, and how you want to do...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

10 challenges confronting China (and what they mean for the world)

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand a year ago became the first advanced central bank to raise interest rates to cool its economy to tackle inflation. So far, the RBNZ has...
Michael Collins
Michael Collins
Magellan
Macro

The great unwind

For all that market commentators focus on economic fundamentals, most of what has been happening this year has been about liquidity – or more specifically the impact...
Mark Tinker
Toscafund HK Limited and Market Thinking Limited
Macro

Three key developments lie ahead for markets

This is a critical time for investors and policymakers alike. Geopolitical tensions, elevated market volatility, and the fastest pace of central bank tightening in...
PIMCO .
PIMCO
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