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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

November Podcasts: Crypto, Insolvency, Australian Property and a Market Bottom?

Below is a summary of the topics we covered on Nucleus Investment Insights this month. See the links for more information. The Great Insolvency Façade with Caroline Di...
Damien Klassen
Nucleus Wealth
Macro

Stocks and bonds both surged on Powell's speech: Only one of these moves makes sense

On 30 November, Fed Chair Powell delivered a speech entitled, Inflation and the Labor Market, at the Hutchins Center on Fiscal and Monetary Policy. Markets surged...
Steven Anastasiou
Economics Uncovered
Macro

Why China's reopening means the equity rally can continue

China's recent protests against zero-COVID are the biggest since 1989. But what implications are there for markets?
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

The recession we have to have... again

Deutsche Bank released its outlook and it’s not good news for bulls. Recession is coming. Brace yourself for 2023.
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Chart of the Week - Bond Yields Going Down!

Bond Yields vs the PMI: As alluded to in the section on treasuries in our latest report, one impact of a weakening growth outlook would be relief for bonds (our...
Callum Thomas
Topdown Charts
Macro

Five medium-term inflation pressures - and what they mean for investors

Inflation has been the top thorn in markets' sides. But as surges turn the corner, I ask what challenges still lie ahead and how your portfolio should be positioned...
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

Aussie house prices fall another >1% in November

In the first 28 days of November, Aussie home values have lost another 1% plus based on CoreLogic's 5 capital city index, bringing the cumulative draw-down to 7.7%...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Where investors went in 2022

The traditional wisdom is that retail investors are a skittish lot. One whiff of a market downturn and they’re outta there. Of course, we’ve seen in more recent...
FMG
STO
+2
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Interest rate shock just around the corner

The Reserve Bank of Australia has a massive trick up its sleeve. The potency of this gambit is still very much underappreciated. In its latest financial stability...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

What will America and its onlookers be reflecting on this Thanksgiving

I have mixed memories of my first Thanksgiving, soon after I went to study in Massachusetts in 1985. Kindly invited to a friend’s family celebration, I was driving my...
Tom Stevenson
Fidelity International
Macro

10 key themes for 2023

Each year, the Neuberger Berman investment leaders identify the 10 key themes they believe will be prominent in markets over the next 12 months.
Neuberger Berman
Neuberger Berman
Macro

The RBA’s Dilemma: How house prices could limit rate hikes

In response to the rapid, ongoing rise in inflation, global central banks have embarked on policy tightening at an unprecedented pace. Indeed, market pricing for the...
Aaditya Thakur
PIMCO
Macro

An own goal in the making

With the RBA continuing to stoke market volatility as it ratchets interest rates higher, it seems APRA, Australia’s other financial regulator, is eager to get in on...
+2
Phil Strano
Yarra Capital Management
Macro

Australia, the lucky country again?

Journalist Donald Horne once proclaimed Australia to be ‘the lucky country’. Horne’s intent was to comment that, while other industrialised nations created wealth...
Cameron McCormack
VanEck
Macro

Sydney house prices have fallen 11.1%, declining at a 17% annual rate, while Brisbane prices fall at 20% annual rate

So there is good news and bad news. The bad news is that national house prices are falling at a record 14% annual rate based on the last three months of data from...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Emerging Markets FinTech is a step ahead

Before the iPhone even had a copy-paste function, millions of Kenyans were banking on their phone. Mobile money, real-time payments, crypto, and even BNPL were all...
Stew Glynn
TEN13
Macro

The three big trends for ETF markets in 2023

ETFs have flourished in recent years. They can tap into niche investor interests, such as robotics. They are easy to use and accessible. They can be a cost-effective...
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Crypto crash bears all the hallmarks of classic non-bank financial crisis...

The crypto crash has been fascinating to watch and bears the hallmarks of a standard non-bank financial crisis that inevitably arises every time there is a liquidity...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Three key lessons from 2022 (and how it will boost returns in 2023)

It is still too early to tell if 2022 will end with a bang or a thud in financial markets. But the shared pain across traditional fixed income and equity assets has...
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

China's Pivot

Chinese stocks have had a phenomenal run over the last two weeks. The Hang Seng index is over 22% higher than a low struck in late October. And some of the big...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Do fixed income and alternatives present opportunities?

With yields rising sharply, bonds are beginning to look interesting again. This has led investors to suggest that fixed income will reclaim its status as a worthy...
LGT Crestone
LGT Crestone
Macro

How will a weaker US dollar impact Australian investors?

“A US dollar is an IOU from the Federal Reserve Bank. It’s a promissory note that doesn’t actually promise anything.” – PJ O’Rourke, US humourist The strong US...
Tim Richardson
Tim Richardson
Pengana Capital Group.
Macro

There have been 6,700 basis points in rate hikes this year - but what's actually changed?

If you added up all of the hikes made by G20 central banks, even including the cuts made by Turkey, Russia, and China, the cumulative total is still 6,700 basis...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Has the central bank pivot arrived

The story of 2022 so far has been of central banks pushing interest rates ever-upwards with the hope of curtailing inflation. Over the course of the last few...
Aaditya Thakur
PIMCO
Macro

The stocks set to benefit from thawing relations with China

The last time Australia had a full formal meeting with the Chinese President was in 2016. A more hopeful time when we'd signed an extensive free trade agreement only...
ELD
+12
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
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