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Macro

Understand the fast-changing domestic and global economic forces under the tectonic plates driving our markets.

Macro

Why I think inflation is heading in the right direction

With stocks on the rocks, everyone I bump into understandably wants to know if it’s a good time to buy equities – the lure of buying at the bottom is just too great...
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro
Sponsored

Profit from a rising US dollar and rising interest rates

Coolabah Capital Investments offers unique global fixed-income strategies denominated in US dollars. Over the last 12 months to 31 August 2022, the US dollar has...
Livewire Exclusive
Livewire Markets
Macro

Why investors are wrong about the Fed

Over the past 25 years, global investors have become conditioned to the notion that central banks will bail out global asset markets amid the first sign of stress....
Matt Sherwood
Perpetual Asset Management (Australia)
Macro

Stubbornly high inflation puts pressure on markets

The key driver of September’s broad-based and significant weakness was inflation, and the realignment of interest rates to the reality of stubbornly higher...
Simon Doyle
Schroders
Macro

Ukraine eight months on: Investing opportunities as the war rolls on

Nearly eight months ago, the world watched in horror as Russian forces invaded Ukraine. We gravely overestimated Putin’s interest in diplomatic relations (or...
GNC
STO
+2
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

What you need to know ahead of China's big political event

There is a whole lot of attention on the upcoming China’s 20th National Party Congress, which is slated to begin October 16. It is the biggest political event on the...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Macro

Three scenarios that could kickstart a new bull market

As you’ve no doubt noticed, the world’s market commentators, brokers, and analysts have turned decidedly bearish. And they have good reason to be pessimistic. But this...
Roger Montgomery
Montgomery Investment Management
Macro

Is ‘something’ breaking? Why we're long bonds, bearish oil

The critical narrative in markets in recent months has been that: “The Fed will tighten until something breaks”. That theme was reinforced by Powell at last month’s...
Chris Watling
Longview Economics
Macro

Cash is King - Long Live the King

In the AFR I write that for better or worse, we live in a twilight zone spanning two worlds. First, there is the old world, where interest rates were to remain...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Why there is no inflation problem – and what it means for your portfolio

The RBA surprised markets by hiking 0.25% in October. The Bank remains hawkish. More rate hikes are set to follow over the rest of 2022. But the RBA’s move to slower...
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

Chart of the Week - Inflation Expectations and the Fed

(dis)Inflation Expectations: Declining inflation expectations will be well received by the Fed and markets with respect to the prospects of a pivot or at least a...
Callum Thomas
Topdown Charts
Macro

Five reasons why the RBA was right to slow down and the top is near

The RBA has increased its cash rate again but slowed the pace to +0.25% which took the cash rate to 2.6%. This was in line with our view and a slowing “at some...
Shane Oliver
AMP
Macro

What do markets have in store?

For investment markets, 2022 has so far been one of the more interesting and fascinating years since the early 1990s. This year, markets have been on a trajectory that...
Kevin Wan Lum
Kevin Wan Lum
LGT Crestone
Macro

Bloodbath on Threadneedle Street

In the AFR I wrote that September has been a bloodbath for financial markets, driven by a range of shocks including a more hawkish than expected US Federal Reserve,...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Why the US Fed might be shooting for the front of the green, not the hole

Over the long run, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has an inflation target of 2%. It forms one of the three pillars of the Fed's mandate, the other two...
David Thornton
Livewire Markets
Macro

Is the world's most watched bond yield signalling an economic implosion?

I would have thought the economics field (which was so confident in secular stagnation) would be more vocal about the eventual return to 2% for US 10s, from rates...
David Berthon-Jones
Aequitas Investment Partners
Macro

Good news: Aussie house price losses stabilise, albeit at a 16% annual rate...

The good news is that there is evidence that the great Aussie housing crash is stabilising in the vanguard cities of Sydney and Melbourne. As the first chart below...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Inflation - Why it is such a big deal for equities

Inflation Headwinds Equity Markets Equity investors are acutely watching developments in inflation expectations and for good reason. Figure 1 outlines the reason...
Bruce Apted
State Street Global Advisors
Macro

How to invest for an inevitable consumer slowdown

In this episode of Stocks Neat, I am joined by Alex Shevelev, Senior Analyst on the Forager Australian Shares Fund, to discuss the potential decline of consumer...
Steve Johnson
Forager
Macro

Equities slow to get the Fed’s message

On December 15 last year, the US Federal Reserve expected its near-zero cash rate (known as the Federal funds rate) to rise only modestly to 0.9 per cent by the end...
Christopher Joye
Coolabah Capital
Macro

Fade the Fed: Why it's time to buy bonds and hold equities

There is a saying in markets: Don’t fight the Fed. It is a good adage. But sometimes the market gets the Fed's message wrong. The reaction to the Fed’s latest 0.75%...
Isaac Poole
Ascalon Capital
Macro

China is not Australia's biggest uncertainty: RBA's Bullock

The term "free money" has been everywhere in financial markets for most of the last two years. Its genesis comes from the fact that central banks pumped enormous...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
Macro

Why you need to understand the US Dollar's supersurge

There has been no shortage of pundits that have predicted the impending demise of the US dollar in recent times. Its use as a reserve currency is diminishing, they...
Janu Chan
Bitesized Economics
Expert Insights

Asia is at a crossroads: Here's what investors need to know

Fidelity International's Anthony Srom has seen plenty of the Asian Century's development in his time. Since joining the firm's Singapore team in 2006, he's led the...
Sara Allen
Livewire Markets
Macro

Signal or Noise: Central banks navigate the inflation "high wire"

Inflation may be the common enemy of global finance right now, but every central bank has different ways of dealing with it.  In the US, Federal Reserve Chairman...
Hans Lee
Livewire Markets
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